Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction, 4/20/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/19/2026

Game: Lecce vs Fiorentina

Date: Monday, April 20, 2026

Location: Stadio Via Del Mare in Lecce, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Stadio Via Del Mare in Lecce, Italy is the location where Fiorentina (8-11-13) will compete against Lecce (7-6-19) on Monday. The Yellow and Reds are priced at +162 while Fiorentina are at -196. The over/under is 3. The expected starting goalies are Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce and David de Gea for Fiorentina.

soccer picks Rolando Mandragora Fiorentina predictions best bet odds

Lecce has earned 87 SVs and they also hold a save% of 64.3% for the year. Their difference in goals is currently at -24 by 21 goals scored and 45 goals relinquished. For the season, this team is averaging 0.84 points per contest (27 pts) and they also have a ranking of 18th in European soccer with 14 assists. The Yellow and Reds are ranked 10th in regard to expected goals with 20.9, and the team's expected goals against are coming in at 20.6. Lecce has tallied 53 yellow cards so far this season in addition to 2 red cards. U.S. Lecce has conceded 45 goals while allowing 1.41 goals per 90 minutes, and opponents have a total of 126 SoT on them. They have 8 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a percentage of 25.0% on the season.

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On the campaign, ACF Fiorentina has a save % of 68.3% (139 shots on target against), and they also are ranked 15th in European soccer with 35 points. The Purples have put together an average of 1.1 pts/match while tallying 20 assists and 2 red cards. Fiorentina has amassed 37 goals and the squad's expected goals on the season is sitting at 20.0. ACF Fiorentina has earned a shut out % of 21.9% this year in addition to 72 yellow cards. Their goals against/90 minutes is at 1.38 in addition to 101 saves, and they have 7 clean sheets. Fiorentina is ranked 13th in relation to goals conceded having 44, and their difference in goals is sitting at -7.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Lecce is Wladimiro Falcone. Falcone has played for 14,175 mins and has earned 492 saves in his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.41 (222 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of 70.0%. The goalkeeper born in Italy has faced 703 shots sent his way in 157 career starting assignments. Falcone (33-44-80 mark in his professional soccer career) has earned 32 shutouts, which has earned him a 20.3%% clean sheet percentage.

David de Gea is expected to look after the goal for Fiorentina. In his pro soccer career, Gea has allowed 609 goals and has totaled 1,541 stops in 539 starting assignments. He is the owner of a save % of 72.1% and his shutout rate sits at 33.4%%. He has allowed 1.13 goals per 90 minutes and he has a mark of 277-125-137. Gea has accumulated 180 shutouts while defending 2,137 shots tried against him in 48,448 career minutes.

Lassana Coulibaly is a player to keep an eye out for Lecce. Coulibaly has been in the starting lineup in 244 contests during his pro soccer career and scores 0.05 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder who is from Mali has recorded 11 goals in 21,306 mins. He has totaled 12 assists while accumulating 34 pts during his soccer career.

Fiorentina features a difference maker in Rolando Mandragora, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He sports an average of 0.13 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 284 contests so far in his pro soccer career. The midfielder from Italy has 24,842 minutes while scoring 36 goals. He has totaled 97 points during his career and has helped on a goal 25 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Lecce (-196)

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Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction, 4/20/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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