Lorient vs Paris FC Prediction, 4/5/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/4/2026

Game: Lorient vs Paris FC

Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026

Location: Stade du Moustoir in Lorient, France

TV: ESPN+

Stade du Moustoir in Lorient, France is the location where Paris FC (5-4-9) will take on Lorient (5-7-6) on Sunday. Lorient are priced at -122 and the Blues are priced at +102. The over/under has been set at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Yvon Mvogo for Lorient and Kevin Trapp for Paris FC.

soccer picks Ahmadou Bamba Dieng Lorient predictions best bet odds

Lorient has earned 63 SVs and also have a save rate of 59.0% this year. The team's goal differential is -4 as a result of 37 goals accumulated as well as 41 goals given up. This year, this team has put together an average of 1.37 pts per match (37 points) and also are 10th among Big 5 teams with 24 assists. The Merlucciidaes are 6th when it comes to expected goals having 20.6, and their xGA are 22.1. Lorient has earned 47 yellow card warnings for the year and also 1 red card. FC Lorient has given up 41 goals while conceding 1.52 goals per 90 minutes, and opponents have recorded 100 shots on target on them. They have earned 5 clean sheets, giving them a % of 18.5% for the year.

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The Blues have put together an average of 1.1 points per match while totaling 19 assists and 4 red cards. Paris FC has a shut out % of 25.9% on the season and also 55 yellow card warnings. Paris FC has a ranking of 15th when talking about goals allowed with 43, and their difference in goals is sitting at -11. So far this year, Paris FC has a save % of 57.0% (100 SoT against), and also rank 13th in European soccer with 31 points. The club's goals against per 90 is currently at 1.59 with 64 saves, and they have recorded 7 clean sheets. Paris FC has accounted for 32 goals and the team's expected goals this season is 18.3.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Lorient is Yvon Mvogo. Mvogo has defended the goal for a total of 7,437 mins and has tallied 274 stops during his pro soccer career. The goalie from Switzerland has had 402 shots attempted at him in 83 starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.62 (134 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save percentage of 68.2%. Mvogo (28-22-33 record in his career) has earned 12 shutouts, which leaves him with a 14.5%% clean sheet rate.

Kevin Trapp will look after the goal for Paris FC. So far in his pro soccer career, Trapp has given up 546 goals while tallying 1,249 saves in 404 starts. He has a save percentage of 69.9% and his shutout rate is 25.9%%. He has surrendered 1.36 goals per 90 while holding a record of 174-114-115. Trapp has racked up 104 shutouts and has seen 1,788 shots against him in 36,185 career mins.

Bamba Dieng is one player who can make an impact for Lorient. Dieng has started 53 matchups during his soccer career and tallies 0.57 goals per 90 mins. The forward who is from Senegal has 31 goals in 4,932 professional minutes. He has 5 assists while earning 67 points thus far in his career.

Paris FC features an attacker in Moses Simon, who pesters opposing defenses. He averages 0.21 G/90 and has been in the starting lineup in 307 outings during his career. The forward hailing from Nigeria has played 26,054 mins while earning 62 goals. He has accounted for 183 pts in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 59 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Paris FC (-122)

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-160)
Start:	April 5, 2026 @ 10:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Liga MX Take Guadalajara/Pumas UNAM OVER 2.5 (-160) (10 p.m. EST, Sunday April 5) Guadalajara Chivas have been one of the top defensive sides in Liga MX this season but they showed some cracks defensively last week at Monterrey, where they allowed two goals. It would be tough to keep up the defensive numbers they have earned this season, especially as we near the postseason and some teams are playing their best. One of those sides is Pumas UNAM, now fourth on the table and the third best side for goals scored league wide. They have now scored in 18 straight matches across all competitions, and they will be ready to compete here and make up some ground on No. 1 Chivas. Guadalajara leads the league in goals scored with 25 through 12 matches, so they are averaging more than two per match. Just looking at the odds, Guadalajara is a heavy favorite and very likely to win, but it’s hard to imagine Pumas getting shut out considering their long streak of matches where they scored. Chivas won 2-1 last time these sides met, in October in Mexico City. We think they can do even better at home and Pumas will not be a pushover here. Nice value on the over even when laying some juice. Read More Read Less

Lorient vs Paris FC Prediction, 4/5/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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