Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, 3/22/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/21/2026

Game: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid

Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN Deportes

Real Madrid (15-3-2) will try to beat Atletico Madrid (12-5-3) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, Spain on Sunday. Real Madrid are priced at -144 while the Red and Whites are at +120. The over/under has been set at 3. The goalies expected to start will be Thibaut Courtois for Real Madrid and Juan Musso for Atletico Madrid.

soccer picks Vinicius Junior Real Madrid predictions best bet odds

The Meringues have surrendered 24 goals while allowing 0.86 goals per 90 min, and the opposition have tallied 78 SoT against them. They are sitting with 11 clean sheets, which puts them at a rate of 39.3% this year. Real Madrid has amassed 52 yellow cards on the season and 5 red cards. The Meringues sit at 2nd in relation to goals expected with 21.9, and their xGA are coming in at 21.7. For the year, the team comes in with an average of 2.36 pts per match (66 pts) and they also are 2nd among European teams with 43 assists. This team's goal differential is currently at 36 by way of 60 goals scored and 24 goals given up. Real Madrid has accounted for 58 saves and they hold a save rate of 69.2% for the season.

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The Red and Whites are averaging 2.0 points per contest while compiling 28 assists and 2 red cards. Madrid has tallied a clean sheet percentage of 42.9% this year in addition to 51 yellow cards. Atlético Madrid is 2nd in the category of goals given up with 25, and their goal difference is 22. On the year, Madrid has a save percentage of 70.9% (86 SoT against), and they also are 3rd among Big 5 teams with 57 points. This team's goals against/90 minutes is 0.89 in addition to 62 saves, and they are sitting with 12 shut outs. Atletico Madrid has recorded 47 goals and their expected goals over the course of the season is at 20.9.

The man who will defend the goal for Real Madrid is Thibaut Courtois. Courtois has seen the pitch for a total of 41,636 minutes and has accumulated 1,098 stops thus far in his career. His goals against per 90 mins is 0.89 (410 goals conceded) and he has a save percentage of 73.1%. The keeper born in Belgium has had 1,503 shots attempted at him in 465 starts. Courtois (292-93-77 mark during his career) has accumulated 197 clean sheets, which gives him a 42.6%% clean sheet percentage.

Juan Musso will look after the net for Atlético Madrid. Thus far in his career, Musso has given up 223 goals while earning 521 stops in 175 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.28 goals per 90 mins while he holds a record of 70-40-65. He sports a save % of 70.5% and his shutout rate is 31.7%%. Musso has tallied 55 clean sheets while defending 739 shots against him in 15,626 minutes in his career.

Vinicius Junior is a guy who has a chance to score for Real Madrid. The forward from Brazil has earned 123 goals scored in 26,765 mins played. Junior has been in the starting lineup in 289 matchups so far in his career and he has earned 0.41 G/90. He has 83 assists while earning 329 points so far in his pro soccer career.

Atlético Madrid stars Alexander Sorloth, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. The forward hailing from Norway has totaled 24,490 mins and has earned 147 goals. He sports an average of 0.54 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 260 games so far in his career. He has 333 points during his soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 39 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Real Madrid (+120)

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Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, 3/22/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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