Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, 4/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/10/2026

Game: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid

Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in Seville, Spain

TV: ESPN Deportes

Sevilla (8-7-15) hosts Atletico Madrid (17-6-7) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in Seville, Spain on Saturday. Sevilla are priced at +120 while the Red and Whites are at -144. The total has been set at 3. The men protecting the net will be Odysseas Vlachodimos for Sevilla and Juan Musso for Atletico Madrid.

soccer picks Alexander Sorloth Atletico Madrid predictions best bet odds

Sevilla has earned 84 SVs and they have earned a SV% of 59.7% so far this year. Their differential on goals is at -13 because of 37 goals scored and also 50 goals given up. So far this season, the squad averages 1.03 pts per fixture (31 points) and also sit at 10th in Big 5 soccer with 25 assists. The Palanganas are ranked 5th in the matter of goals expected having 21.9, and the team's xGA sit at 18.2. Sevilla is sitting with 85 yellow card warnings on the campaign and also 5 red cards. Sevilla FC has allowed 50 goals while allowing 1.67 G/90, and opposing teams have 124 shots on target against them. They have tallied 5 shut outs, which puts them at a percentage of 16.7% on the season.

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Atletico Madrid has accounted for 50 goals and the squad's goals expected this season is 18.3. The club's goals against/90 min is at 1.00 with 73 saves, and they have 12 clean sheets. This season, Madrid has a save percentage of 70.3% (101 SoTA), and also rank 4th in European soccer with 57 pts. Atlético Madrid sits at 3rd concerning goals conceded having 30, and the team's goal difference sits at 20. Madrid has earned a shut out rate of 40.0% this year and also 61 yellow cards. The Red and Whites are averaging 1.9 pts/match while accounting for 31 assists and 3 red cards.

The guy protecting the net for Sevilla is Odysseas Vlachodimos. Vlachodimos has seen the field for 2,993 mins and has 89 saves in his career. Vlachodimos (8-6-19 mark during his soccer career) has earned 5 shutouts, which gives him a 15.0%% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from Greece has had 143 shots attempted at him in 33 starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.89 (63 goals given up) and he has a save percentage of 62.2%.

Juan Musso will reside in front of the net for Atlético Madrid. During his career, Musso has surrendered 228 goals while totaling 532 saves in 177 starting assignments. He has earned a save % of 70.6% and his clean sheet rate is 31.3%%. He has conceded 1.30 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 70-40-67. Musso has racked up 55 shutouts while defending 754 shots attempted against him in 15,806 career mins.

Akor Adams is one player who can make a noticable difference for Sevilla. He has 10 assists while tallying 96 points during his pro soccer career. The forward from Nigeria has tallied 43 goals scored in 7,810 professional minutes. Adams has been in the starting lineup in 89 contests during his soccer career and has 0.50 goals per 90 minutes.

Atlético Madrid has a player in Alexander Sorloth, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. The forward born in Norway has earned 24,554 mins while he has scored 147 goals. He scores 0.54 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 260 outings so far in his career. He has tallied 333 pts so far in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 39 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sevilla (-144)

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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, 4/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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