Josh Parisian vs Parker Porter Pick, 11/28/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 15 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/27/2020

Josh Parisian vs Parker Porter

UFC Vegas 15

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 28, 2020

Josh Parisian will battle Parker Porter at UFC Vegas 15 on Saturday, November 28, 2020. The odds have Parisian priced at -210 while Porter is at +175.

Josh Parisian Parisian steps into the cage holding a record of 13-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 265 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Parker Porter Porter stands in at 6'0" and weighs in at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 10-6-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 75". With respect to significant strikes, Josh Parisian is connecting on 7.07 per min while Parker Porter lands 6.82 significant strikes per min. Parisian lands 55% of the significant strikes he throws and Porter connects on 43%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Parisian allows 4.97 significant strikes per min and Porter takes 7.06. Parisian also thwarts 29% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Porter is able to defend against 56% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Concerning takedowns, Josh Parisian is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.41 times per 15 min. Parisian is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of his attempts and is defending 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Porter is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his takedown attempts and is defending 51% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the sub, Parisian is the more capable fighter by attempting 2.9 submissions per 15 min while Porter tries 1.2 submissions per 15 min.

In his last fight, Josh Parisian squared up with Chad Johnson and ended up winning this fight via punches to the head from the mount position in round 1. Johnson ended up landing 23 of 34 total strikes attempted in that fight. Parisian finished this fight landing 36 of 57 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Johnson landed 22 of 32, which means his percentage was 68%. He landed 14 of 23 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Parisian ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes by connecting on 29 of 49. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 17 of 35 to the head. 77% of the significant strikes connected on by Johnson and 41% of them connected on by Parisian were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Parker Porter, he fought Chris Daukaus and was on the losing end of this fight via a knee to the head in round 1. Daukaus ended up landing 78% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Porter ended up connecting on 82% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Porter landed 32% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 17 of 52. He ended up landing 12 of 44 significant strikes to the head. Daukaus connected on 37 of 59 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 29 of 49 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Daukaus connected on 45 of 67 and Porter ended up connecting on 18 of 53 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Miguel Baeza takes on Takashi Sato. Baeza walks into the Octagon with a mark of 9-0-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Sato stands 5'10" and weighs 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 73". In terms of takedowns, Miguel Baeza gets his opposition to the mat 0.54 times per 15 min while Takashi Sato is averaging a takedown 0.79 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Baeza lands an average of 4.78 strikes per minute and is connecting on 56% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Takashi Sato, who tags the opposition on 41% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 3.94 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Bill Algeo is set to face off against Spike Carlyle. Carlyle has a record of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The switch fighter reaches 71". Algeo comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 13-5-0. The 31-year-old stretches 73". Regarding takedowns, Spike Carlyle deflects 50% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his tries. Algeo is taking his opponents down on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Carlyle is absorbing 3.11 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 3.47 strikes per min. Algeo, on the contrary, takes 7.20 strikes/minute and lands 7.87 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Josh Parisian (-210)

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Josh Parisian vs Parker Porter Pick, 11/28/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 15 Odds

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