Charles Oliveira vs Dustin Poirier Pick, 12/11/2021 Predictions UFC 269 Odds

Charles Oliveira vs Dustin Poirier

UFC 269

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 11, 2021

Charles Oliveira will battle Dustin Poirier at UFC 269 on Saturday, December 11, 2021. The odds have Oliveira at +140 while Poirier is at -160.

Charles "Do Bronx" Oliveira comes into this bout with a record of 31-8-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Dustin "The Diamond" Poirier comes in at 5'9" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 28-6-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 72". Concerning significant strikes, Charles Oliveira is landing 3.26 per min while Dustin Poirier is connecting on 5.62 significant strikes per minute. Oliveira is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he throws and Poirier connects on 50%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Do Bronx" takes 3.01 significant strikes per minute while "The Diamond" allows 4.19. Oliveira also thwarts 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Poirier deflects 54% of the shots thrown.

When it comes to grappling, Charles Oliveira is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he scores a takedown 2.64 times per 3 rounds. Oliveira is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of the times he tries and is defending 57% of all takedown tries against him. Poirier is taking his opponents down on 36% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 61% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Oliveira is the more skilled technician by going for 2.7 subs per 3 rounds while Poirier looks to get 1.2 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Charles Oliveira fought Michael Chandler and ended up winning this fight via a punch to the head in round 2. Chandler ended up landing 36 of 61 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Oliveira ended the night having landed 32 of 41 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Chandler ended up landing 30 of 55, giving him a percentage of 54%. He landed 22 of 42 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Oliveira landed 75% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 24 of 32. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 20 of 26 to the head. 43% of the significant strikes landed by Chandler and 54% of them landed by Oliveira were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Dustin Poirier, he faced off with Conor McGregor and wound up getting the win via TKO via a doctor's stoppage in round 1. McGregor ended up landing 62% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Poirier landed 22% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Poirier connected on 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 36 of 66. He ended up connecting on 35 of 62 significant strikes directed at the head. McGregor connected on 27 of 38 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 13 of 21 aimed at the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, McGregor ended up connecting on 43 of 54 and Poirier landed 36 of 66 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Geoff Neal enters the Octagon with Santiago Ponzinibbio. Neal walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Ponzinibbio comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 29-4-0. The 35-year-old stretches 73". In the grappling category, Geoff Neal takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 15 min and Santiago Ponzinibbio gets a takedown 0.46 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Neal lands an average of 4.42 strikes per min and lands 48% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Santiago Ponzinibbio, who connects on 40% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 4.65 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Cody Garbrandt is set to square up in the Octagon against Kai Kara-France. Kara-France holds a mark of 22-9-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Garbrandt stands in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 65". Regarding wrestling, Kai Kara-France thwarts 86% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 23% of the times he tries. Garbrandt is taking his opponents to the mat on 32% of his tries and stops 83% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Kara-France is absorbing 3.84 strikes/minute and he connects on 5.02 strikes per min. Garbrandt, notwithstanding, takes 4.14 strikes/minute and lands 3.17 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Charles Oliveira (+140)

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