Clay Guida vs Leonardo Santos Pick, 12/4/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 44 Odds

Clay Guida vs Leonardo Santos

UFC Vegas 44

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 4, 2021

Clay Guida will face off against Leonardo Santos at UFC Vegas 44 on Saturday, December 4, 2021. The line has Guida coming in at +160 while Santos is at -190.

Clay "The Carpenter" Guida walks into the cage with a mark of 36-18-0. The 39-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Leonardo Santos stands in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 18-5-1. The 41-year-old has a reach of 75". In the category of significant strikes, Clay Guida is connecting on 2.53 per minute and Leonardo Santos is connecting on 2.65 significant strikes per min. Guida connects on 34% of the significant strikes he throws and Santos lands 44%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Carpenter" allows 2.71 significant strikes per min while Santos absorbs 2.77. Guida also curbs 62% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Santos is able to curb 58% of the shots thrown.

Concerning wrestling, Clay Guida is the more effective grappler as he scores a takedown 3.24 times per 3 rounds. Guida is scoring a takedown on 38% of his attempts and is defending 68% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Santos is taking his opponents down on 29% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 89% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Guida is the more skilled technician by trying 0.7 submissions per 3 rds while Santos attempts 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Clay Guida faced Mark Madsen and ended up taking the loss by split decision in round 3. Madsen landed 101 of 198 total strikes attempted in that contest. Guida ended the night having landed 72 of 212 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Madsen landed 98 of 192, which gave him a rate of 51%. He ended up landing 70 of 159 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Guida landed 33% of his significant strikes by landing 72 of 212. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 30 of 161 aimed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes connected on by Madsen and 88% of them connected on by Guida were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Leonardo Santos, he went up against Grant Dawson and ended up losing the fight via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Dawson landed 71% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Santos ended up connecting on 93% of his significant strikes at distance. Santos landed 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 30 of 67. He ended up landing 14 of 45 significant strikes aimed at the head. Dawson ended up connecting on 46 of 84 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 16 of 48 to the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Dawson ended up landing 75 of 132 while Santos ended up connecting on 74 of 115 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jimmy Crute faces off with Jamahal Hill. Crute looks to add a win to his record of 12-2-0. The 25-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Hill measures 6'4" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 8-1-0. The 30-year-old stretches 79". Regarding grappling, Jimmy Crute gets a takedown 4.97 times per 3 rds and Jamahal Hill takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Crute is connecting on 4.26 strikes per min and connects on 56% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Jamahal Hill, who tags his opponent on 52% of the strikes he attempts and lands 7.50 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Chris Curtis is set to encounter Brendan Allen. Allen will be looking to add a win to his record of 17-4-0. The 25-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Curtis comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 27-8-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding takedowns, Brendan Allen is preventing 50% of the takedowns his opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 45% of his attempts. Curtis is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 80% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Allen takes 4.24 strikes/min while he connects on 4.10 strikes per min. Curtis, on the other side, is absorbing 6.85 strikes/minute and is dealing 6.54 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Clay Guida (+160)

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