Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Gamrot Pick, 12/18/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 45 Odds

Diego Ferreira vs Mateusz Gamrot

UFC Vegas 45

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 18, 2021

Diego Ferreira will face off with Mateusz Gamrot at UFC Vegas 45 on Saturday, December 18, 2021. The odds have Ferreira coming in at +155 while Gamrot is coming in at -180.

Diego Ferreira looks to add a victory to his career record of 17-4-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Mateusz "Gamer" Gamrot comes in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 19-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 70". With respect to significant strikes, Diego Ferreira connects on 4.70 per min and Mateusz Gamrot connects on 4.10 significant strikes per min. Ferreira connects on 37% of the significant strikes he throws while Gamrot is connecting on 48%. Regarding defending in the cage, Ferreira takes 3.38 significant strikes per min while "Gamer" allows 2.09. Ferreira also thwarts 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Gamrot prevents 64% of the strikes thrown his way.

When it comes to wrestling, Diego Ferreira is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.81 times per 15 minutes. Ferreira is taking his opponents to the canvas on 24% of the times he tries and is defending 66% of all takedown attempts. Gamrot is scoring a takedown on 34% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 70% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Ferreira is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.8 submissions per 3 rds while Gamrot looks to get 0.7 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Diego Ferreira squared up with Gregor Gillespie and walked away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Gillespie ended up landing 53 of 70 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Ferreira ended the night having landed 37 of 70 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Gillespie landed 45 of 62, which gave him a rate of 72%. He landed 37 of 52 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Ferreira ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes by landing 31 of 60. Out of those significant strikes, he was 31 of 60 aimed at the head. 20% of the significant strikes connected on by Gillespie and 32% of them landed by Ferreira were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Mateusz Gamrot, he battled Jeremy Stephens and ended up getting the victory in the fight by a kimura from side control in round 1. Stephens landed 33% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Gamrot connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Gamrot connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 1 of 1. He ended up landing 1 of 1 significant strikes to the head. Stephens landed 0 of 2 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 0 of 1 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Stephens ended up landing 2 of 2 and Gamrot ended up connecting on 1 of 1 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Cub Swanson faces off with Darren Elkins. Swanson walks into the cage with a record of 27-12-0. The 38-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Elkins measures in at 5'10" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 27-9-0. The 37-year-old has a reach of 71". Regarding grappling, Cub Swanson takes his opponents to the mat 1.08 times per 3 rounds and Darren Elkins gets a takedown 2.67 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Swanson tags his opponents 4.63 strikes/minute and landing 50% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Darren Elkins, who tags his opponent on 38% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.46 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Gerald Meerschaert is set to enter the Octagon against Dustin Stoltzfus. Stoltzfus steps into the cage with a mark of 13-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Meerschaert stands 6'1" and weighs 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his total of 33-14-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 77". Concerning grappling, Dustin Stoltzfus deflects 50% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 9% of the times he tries. Meerschaert is finishing his takedowns on 40% of the attempts he tries and deflects 43% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Stoltzfus is taking 4.00 strikes/min while he is connecting on 3.68 strikes per min. Meerschaert, on the other side, is absorbing 3.75 strikes per min and is dishing out 3.41 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mateusz Gamrot (-180)

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