Jan Blachowicz vs Israel Adesanya Pick, 3/6/2021 Predictions UFC 259 Odds

Jan Blachowicz vs Israel Adesanya

UFC 259

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 6, 2021

Jan Blachowicz will face off with Israel Adesanya at UFC 259 on Saturday, March 6, 2021. The opening odds have Blachowicz at +190 while Adesanya is at -230.

Jan Blachowicz looks to add a victory to his record of 27-8-0. The 38-year-old weighs 205 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Israel "The Last Stylebender" Adesanya comes in at 6'4" and weighs 185 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 20-0-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 80". Regarding significant strikes, Jan Blachowicz lands 3.49 per min while Israel Adesanya is landing 4.10 significant strikes per min. Blachowicz is landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Adesanya is landing 50%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Blachowicz absorbs 2.74 significant strikes per minute while "The Last Stylebender" allows 2.33. Blachowicz also curbs 54% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Adesanya curbs 65% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of grappling, Jan Blachowicz is the more efficient wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.10 times per 15 minutes. Blachowicz is taking his opponents to the canvas on 52% of his attempts and thwarting 65% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Adesanya is finishing his takedowns on 30% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 86% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Blachowicz is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Adesanya attempts 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

In his last fight, Jan Blachowicz fought Dominick Reyes and wound up taking home the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Reyes landed 21 of 51 total strikes that he let go. Blachowicz finished this fight landing 41 of 89 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Reyes ended up landing 21 of 51, which means his percentage was 41%. He landed 9 of 35 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Blachowicz ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes by landing 41 of 89. Out of those significant strikes, he was 25 of 70 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Reyes and 90% of them landed by Blachowicz were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Israel Adesanya, he battled Paulo Costa and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head in round 2. Costa ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Adesanya landed 81% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Adesanya ended up connecting on 65% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 55 of 84. He ended up landing 24 of 51 significant strikes to the head. Costa ended up landing 12 of 26 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 2 of 13 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Costa was 12 of 26 while Adesanya landed 55 of 84 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Petr Yan battles Aljamain Sterling. Yan holds a career record of 15-1-0. The 28-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter has a reach of 67". Sterling stands in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 19-3-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 71". In the grappling category, Petr Yan takes his opponents down 1.46 times per 3 rds while Aljamain Sterling is averaging a takedown 1.89 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Yan lands 6.32 strikes/min and connecting on 50% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Aljamain Sterling, who tags his opponent on 50% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 4.82 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Drew Dober is set to battle Islam Makhachev. Makhachev walks into the cage holding a mark of 18-1-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Dober stands 5'8" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 23-9-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 70". In the category of takedowns, Islam Makhachev is able to curb 93% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 68% of the times he tries. Dober is taking his opponents to the mat on 17% of his attempts and stops 58% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Makhachev is taking 0.76 strikes/minute while he deals 2.10 strikes per min. Dober, on the other side, takes 4.12 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.66 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jan Blachowicz (+190)

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