Justin Tafa vs Harry Hunsucker Pick, 12/18/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 45 Odds

Justin Tafa vs Harry Hunsucker

UFC Vegas 45

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 18, 2021

Justin Tafa will enter the Octagon against Harry Hunsucker at UFC Vegas 45 on Saturday, December 18, 2021. The moneyline has Tafa priced at -335 while Hunsucker is priced at +260.

Justin "Bad Man" Tafa comes into this bout with a record of 4-3-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 264 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 74". Harry "The Hurricane" Hunsucker measures in at 6'2" and weighs in at 241 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 7-4-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In the category of significant strikes, Justin Tafa is landing 5.15 per min while Harry Hunsucker is landing 4.33 significant strikes per minute. Tafa is landing 55% of the significant strikes he throws while Hunsucker is connecting on 51%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Bad Man" absorbs 6.12 significant strikes per min while "The Hurricane" allows 8.44. Tafa also stops 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Hunsucker curbs 41% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Concerning wrestling, Justin Tafa is not as effective of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.30 times per 15 minutes. Tafa is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of his tries and is stuffing 70% of all takedown attempts. Hunsucker is scoring a takedown on 30% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 30% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing opponents, Tafa is the more able fighter by trying 0.6 submissions per 15 min while Hunsucker tries 0.3 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Justin Tafa fought Jared Vanderaa and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Vanderaa landed 141 of 269 total strikes attempted in that contest. Tafa ended the night having landed 74 of 147 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Vanderaa ended up landing 121 of 248, which means his percentage was 48%. He landed 64 of 181 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Tafa ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by landing 74 of 147. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 35 of 102 aimed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Vanderaa and 94% of them connected on by Tafa were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Harry Hunsucker, he squared up with Tai Tuivasa and ended up taking the loss by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Tuivasa ended up landing 64% of his significant strikes at distance and Hunsucker connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Hunsucker connected on 33% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 2 of 6. He ended up connecting on 1 of 5 significant strikes directed at the head. Tuivasa landed 14 of 18 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 10 of 14 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Tuivasa was 14 of 18 and Hunsucker landed 2 of 6 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Charles Jourdain squares up against Andre Ewell. Jourdain will be looking to add a win to his record of 11-4-1. The 26-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter stretches 69". Ewell measures in at 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a mark of 17-8-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 75". When it comes to grappling, Charles Jourdain gets a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds and Andre Ewell is averaging a takedown 0.27 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Jourdain connects for an average of 5.07 strikes per minute and is landing 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Andre Ewell, who lands 41% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 4.35 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Josh Parisian is set to fight Don'Tale Mayes. Mayes comes into this bout with a mark of 8-4-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 260 lbs and stands in at 6'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 81". Parisian stands in at 6'4" and is weighing in at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-4-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 79". In terms of grappling, Don'Tale Mayes stops 59% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 20% of his attempts. Parisian is finishing his takedowns on 14% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Mayes is taking 4.46 strikes/minute and he is dealing 4.13 strikes per minute. Parisian, on the contrary, is taking 6.13 strikes/min and connects on 6.53 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Justin Tafa (-335)

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