Kamaru Usman vs Gilbert Burns Pick, 2/13/2021 Predictions UFC 258 Odds
Kamaru Usman vs Gilbert Burns
UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, February 13, 2021
Kamaru Usman will face off against Gilbert Burns at UFC 258 on Saturday, February 13, 2021. The opening line has Usman coming in at -280 while Burns is at +240.
Kamaru "The Nigerian Nightmare" Usman will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 17-1-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The switch fighter extends his reach 76". Gilbert "Durinho" Burns comes in at 5'10" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 19-3-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Kamaru Usman is landing 4.50 per minute while Gilbert Burns is connecting on 3.15 significant strikes per minute. Usman connects on 53% of the significant strikes he tries while Burns connects on 46%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Nigerian Nightmare" takes 2.23 significant strikes per min while "Durinho" takes 2.74. Usman also prevents 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Burns prevents 56% of the strikes thrown his way.
|UFC 258||Kamaru Usman||Gilbert Burns|
|Average Fight Time||17:21||11:17|
|Weight||170 lbs||170 lbs|
|Strikes Landed Per Minute||4.50||3.15|
In the grappling category, Kamaru Usman is the more capable wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.38 times per 3 rds. Usman is taking his opponents to the canvas on 47% of the times he tries and is stopping 60% of the attempts against him. Burns is getting his opponent to the mat on 37% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the sub, Usman is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.1 subs per 3 rds while Burns attempts 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.
In his previous fight, Kamaru Usman went up against Jorge Masvidal and took home the victory by unanimous decision in round 5. Masvidal ended up landing 88 of 157 total strikes attempted in that fight. Usman finished this fight landing 263 of 341 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Masvidal landed 66 of 125, giving him a percentage of 52%. He finished the fight landing 23 of 69 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Usman landed 62% of his significant strikes by landing 94 of 151. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 43 of 96 aimed at the head. 57% of the significant strikes connected on by Masvidal and 44% of them connected on by Usman were done at distance.
In the last bout for Gilbert Burns, he battled Tyron Woodley and wound up taking home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Woodley ended up landing 67% of his significant strikes at distance while Burns ended up connecting on 61% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Burns landed 60% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 83 of 138. He ended up connecting on 41 of 82 significant strikes directed at the head. Woodley ended up landing 28 of 64 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he landed 14 of 44 to the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Woodley was 65 of 101 and Burns landed 156 of 211 total strikes.
Other bouts on the card to watch out for
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Kelvin Gastelum takes on Ian Heinisch. Gastelum looks to add a victory to his record of 16-6-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". Heinisch measures 5'11" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 14-3-0. The 32-year-old reaches 72". When it comes to grappling, Kelvin Gastelum scores a takedown 0.87 times per 15 minutes while Ian Heinisch is able to score a takedown 1.16 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Gastelum lands an average of 3.72 strikes/minute and is connecting on 43% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Ian Heinisch, who connects on 52% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 3.62 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Julian Marquez is set to go up against Maki Pitolo. Pitolo comes into this fight with a record of 13-7-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Marquez comes in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 7-2-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of wrestling, Maki Pitolo stops 50% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of his tries. Marquez is finishing his takedowns on 20% of his tries and is able to defend against 52% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Pitolo absorbs 4.00 strikes per minute and he lands 4.87 strikes per min. Marquez, at the same time, is absorbing 3.33 strikes/minute and connects on 3.80 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Kamaru Usman (-280)
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