Mario Bautista vs Trevin Jones Pick, 3/6/2021 Predictions UFC 259 Odds

Mario Bautista vs Trevin Jones

UFC 259

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 6, 2021

Mario Bautista will face off with Trevin Jones at UFC 259 on Saturday, March 6, 2021. The opening line has Bautista coming in at -240 while Jones is at +200.

Mario Bautista steps into the Octagon holding a record of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The switch fighter extends his reach 69". Trevin "5 Star" Jones stands 5'7" and is weighing in at 140 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 12-6-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 70". With respect to significant strikes, Mario Bautista connects on 6.19 per min and Trevin Jones lands 3.72 significant strikes per minute. Bautista is connecting on 45% of the significant strikes he attempts while Jones connects on 52%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Bautista allows 4.96 significant strikes per min while "5 Star" takes 9.45. Bautista also defends 58% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Jones stops 29% of them.

In the wrestling category, Mario Bautista is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 3 rds. Bautista is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of the times he tries and stuffing 57% of the takedowns his opponents try. Jones is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 20% of the attempts against him. Regarding subbing opponents, Bautista is the more capable fighter by going for 0.8 finishes per 3 rds while Jones goes for 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Mario Bautista fought Miles Johns and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of a flying knee to the head in round 2. Johns ended up landing 13 of 44 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Bautista finished this fight landing 18 of 67 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Johns landed 13 of 44, which means his percentage was 29%. He finished the fight landing 11 of 42 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Bautista landed 26% of his significant strikes by landing 18 of 67. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 18 of 64 pointed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes connected on by Johns and 50% of them landed by Bautista were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Trevin Jones, he fought Timur Valiev and the fight was deemed a no contest because of a failed drug test by Jones. Valiev ended up connecting on 90% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Jones ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Jones connected on 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 26 of 50. He ended up connecting on 21 of 44 significant strikes directed at the head. Valiev connected on 66 of 93 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 28 of 50 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Valiev was 66 of 93 while Jones landed 31 of 55 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Amanda Nunes goes up against Megan Anderson. Nunes will be looking to add a win to her career total of 20-4-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Anderson stands 6'0" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-4-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 72". In terms of takedowns, Amanda Nunes is able to score a takedown 2.53 times per 15 min while Megan Anderson takes her opponents to the mat 0.56 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Nunes lands an average of 4.44 strikes per min and is landing 51% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Megan Anderson, who is landing 46% of the strikes she has thrown and lands 1.82 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Amanda Lemos is set to take on Livinha Souza. Souza comes into this bout with a record of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Lemos measures 5'4" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 8-1-1. The 33-year-old extends her reach 65". Concerning grappling, Livinha Souza is preventing 40% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 44% of her tries. Lemos is taking her opponents down on 100% of the attempts she tries and is able to defend against 70% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Souza is taking 3.02 strikes/min and she is landing 2.20 per minute. Lemos, on the other hand, takes 6.09 strikes/minute and is landing 5.98 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mario Bautista (-240)

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