Alex Caceres vs Julian Erosa Pick, 12/17/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 66 Odds

Alex Caceres vs Julian Erosa

UFC Vegas 66

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, December 17, 2022

Alex Caceres will battle Julian Erosa at UFC Vegas 66 on Saturday, December 17, 2022. The opener has Caceres at +145 while Erosa is priced at -170.

Alex "Bruce Leeroy" Caceres holds a mark of 19-13-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Julian "Juicy J" Erosa stands in at 6'1" and weighs 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 28-10-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding significant strikes, Alex Caceres is landing 4.15 per min while Julian Erosa lands 6.26 significant strikes per minute. Caceres is landing 51% of the significant strikes he throws and Erosa lands 48%. Regarding defense, "Bruce Leeroy" takes 2.92 significant strikes per minute while "Juicy J" allows 6.30. Caceres also defends 64% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Erosa is able to stop 48% of the shots thrown in his direction.

When it comes to wrestling, Alex Caceres is not as efficient of a wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.58 times per 3 rds. Caceres is getting his opponent to the mat on 70% of his attempts and stopping 64% of all takedown tries against him. Erosa is taking his opponents to the mat on 48% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 61% of the attempts against him. Regarding submissions, Caceres is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.8 subs per 3 rds while Erosa attempts 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Alex Caceres fought Sodiq Yusuff and wound up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Yusuff ended up landing 74 of 133 total strikes that he let go. Caceres ended the night having landed 71 of 143 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Yusuff ended up landing 64 of 123, giving him a percentage of 52%. He landed 18 of 70 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Caceres ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by landing 66 of 138. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 43 of 107 to the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Yusuff and 96% of them landed by Caceres were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Julian Erosa, he battled Hakeem Dawodu and ended up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Dawodu connected on 77% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Erosa ended up landing 64% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Erosa landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 92 of 188. He connected on 60 of 149 significant strikes to the head. Dawodu ended up connecting on 74 of 147 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 43 of 109 aimed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Dawodu landed 90 of 163 and Erosa landed 152 of 257 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Drew Dober squares up against Bobby Green. Dober looks to add a victory to his career total of 25-11-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Green measures in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 29-13-1. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Regarding grappling, Drew Dober scores a takedown 0.75 times per 15 minutes while Bobby Green gets a takedown 1.34 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Dober tags his opponents 4.47 strikes/minute and lands 40% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Bobby Green, who is landing 52% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 5.88 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Michal Oleksiejczuk is set to clash with Cody Brundage. Brundage holds a career record of 8-2-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Oleksiejczuk measures 6'0" and will fight at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 17-5-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old reaches 74". Concerning wrestling, Cody Brundage is stopping 68% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of the times he tries. Oleksiejczuk is taking his opponents to the mat on 42% of the tries he takes and prevents 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Brundage takes 2.65 strikes per minute while he lands 2.65 strikes per min. Oleksiejczuk, in contrast, is absorbing 4.19 strikes per minute and is dishing out 4.95 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Julian Erosa (-170)

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