Andre Fili vs Joanderson Brito Pick, 4/30/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 53 Odds

Andre Fili vs Joanderson Brito

UFC Vegas 53

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 30, 2022

Andre Fili will enter the Octagon against Joanderson Brito at UFC Vegas 53 on Saturday, April 30, 2022. The opening moneyline has Fili priced at -275 while Brito is at +220.

Andre "Touchy" Fili comes into this bout with a record of 21-8-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Joanderson "Tubarao" Brito measures in at 5'8" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 12-3-1. The 27-year-old stretches 72". In the category of significant strikes, Andre Fili connects on 3.80 per minute and Joanderson Brito is connecting on 3.33 significant strikes per minute. Fili is connecting on 36% of the significant strikes he attempts while Brito connects on 47%. Regarding defense, "Touchy" absorbs 3.86 significant strikes per minute and "Tubarao" allows 3.13. Fili also defends against 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Brito curbs 50% of them.

Regarding wrestling, Andre Fili is not as effective of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 2.50 times per 15 minutes. Fili is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of the times he tries and stopping 68% of the takedowns his opponents try. Brito is finishing his takedown tries on 62% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 10% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Fili is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Brito tries 0.5 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Andre Fili faced Daniel Pineda and the fight ended in a no contest via a poke to the eye in round 2. Pineda landed 43 of 62 total strikes that he let go. Fili finished this fight landing 44 of 78 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Pineda landed 15 of 34, giving him a percentage of 44%. He ended up landing 7 of 25 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Fili ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 34 of 67. Of those significant strikes, he landed 29 of 61 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Pineda and 82% of them connected on by Fili were done at distance.

In the last fight for Joanderson Brito, he squared up with Bill Algeo and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Algeo ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Brito landed 97% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Brito landed 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 40 of 104. He ended up landing 24 of 83 significant strikes to the head. Algeo landed 59 of 118 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 44 of 90 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Algeo was 112 of 176 and Brito was 46 of 110 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jared Gordon opposes Grant Dawson. Gordon walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-4-0. The 33-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Dawson stands in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a record of 17-1-1. The 28-year-old extends his reach 72". When it comes to grappling, Jared Gordon gets his opposition to the mat 2.54 times per 15 min while Grant Dawson takes his opponents down 3.36 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Gordon lands 5.22 strikes per min and is connecting on 56% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Grant Dawson, who tags his opponent on 50% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 3.06 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Tristan Connelly is set to clash with Darren Elkins. Elkins will be looking to add a victory to his total of 27-10-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Connelly measures 5'10" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 14-7-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 68". Concerning wrestling, Darren Elkins curbs 56% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 32% of the times he tries. Connelly is taking his opponents down on 14% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 70% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Elkins is absorbing 3.09 strikes per min while he is dishing out 3.44 strikes per min. Connelly, on the contrary, takes 1.93 strikes/minute and dishes out 2.77 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Andre Fili (-275)

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