Brian Kelleher vs Mario Bautista Pick, 6/25/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 57 Odds

Brian Kelleher vs Mario Bautista

UFC Vegas 57

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 25, 2022

Brian Kelleher will face off against Mario Bautista at UFC Vegas 57 on Saturday, June 25, 2022. The moneyline has Kelleher priced at +135 while Bautista is at -155.

Brian "Boom" Kelleher looks to add a victory to his record of 24-13-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The switch fighter reaches 66". Mario Bautista measures 5'9" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-2-0. The 28-year-old reaches 69". In the category of significant strikes, Brian Kelleher is connecting on 3.41 per min while Mario Bautista lands 5.42 significant strikes per min. Kelleher is landing 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Bautista connects on 48%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Boom" allows 4.66 significant strikes per min while Bautista allows 4.13. Kelleher also curbs 54% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Bautista is able to stop 56% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

When it comes to wrestling, Brian Kelleher is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.82 times per 3 rounds. Kelleher is taking his opponents to the canvas on 42% of his tries and is defending 63% of all takedown attempts. Bautista is taking his opponents to the canvas on 55% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 66% of the attempts against him. In terms of submissions, Kelleher is the more capable fighter by going for 0.7 subs per 15 minutes while Bautista looks to get 0.3 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Brian Kelleher faced Umar Nurmagomedov and wound up walking away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 1. Nurmagomedov landed 21 of 29 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Kelleher finished this fight landing 1 of 19 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Nurmagomedov landed 18 of 26, giving him a percentage of 69%. He finished the fight landing 9 of 15 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Kelleher ended up landing 5% of his significant strikes by connecting on 1 of 19. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 0 of 13 aimed at the head. 72% of the significant strikes connected on by Nurmagomedov and 100% of them connected on by Kelleher were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Mario Bautista, he battled Jay Perrin and ended up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Perrin landed 78% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Bautista landed 54% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Bautista ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 72 of 125. He ended up connecting on 43 of 86 significant strikes to the head. Perrin connected on 42 of 107 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 16 of 67 directed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Perrin landed 57 of 122 while Bautista landed 112 of 173 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Vanessa Demopoulos faces off against Jinh Yu Frey. Demopoulos steps into the Octagon holding a record of 7-4-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and measures in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 59". Yu Frey stands 5'3" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 11-6-0. The 37-year-old extends her reach 65". In terms of takedowns, Vanessa Demopoulos is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds and Jinh Yu Frey takes her opponents to the mat 0.78 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Demopoulos is landing 3.02 strikes/min and is landing 42% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Jinh Yu Frey, who is landing 44% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 2.86 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Mateusz Gamrot is set to square up with Arman Tsarukyan. Tsarukyan will be looking to add a win to his career total of 18-2-0. The 25-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Gamrot measures in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 20-1-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old has an arm span of 70". Concerning wrestling, Arman Tsarukyan curbs 78% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 37% of the times he tries. Gamrot is taking his opponents down on 40% of his tries and deflects 75% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Tsarukyan is absorbing 1.36 strikes/minute while he lands 3.75 strikes/min. Gamrot, at the same time, absorbs 2.69 strikes per minute and dishes out 3.79 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Brian Kelleher (+135)

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