Charles Oliveira vs Justin Gaethje Pick, 5/7/2022 Predictions UFC 274 Odds
Charles Oliveira vs Justin Gaethje
Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ
Saturday, May 7, 2022
Charles Oliveira will take on Justin Gaethje at UFC 274 on Saturday, May 7, 2022. The opening line has Oliveira coming in at -165 while Gaethje is at +145.
Charles "Do Bronx" Oliveira comes into this bout holding a record of 32-8-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Justin "The Highlight" Gaethje measures 5'11" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 23-3-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 70". With respect to significant strikes, Charles Oliveira is landing 3.44 per min and Justin Gaethje lands 7.50 significant strikes per minute. Oliveira is landing 53% of the significant strikes he tries while Gaethje is landing 60%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Do Bronx" takes 3.13 significant strikes per minute while "The Highlight" takes 7.81. Oliveira also prevents 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Gaethje deflects 55% of the strikes thrown his way.
|UFC 274||Charles Oliveira||Justin Gaethje|
|Record||32-8-0 (1 NC)||23-3-0|
|Average Fight Time||7:02||10:19|
|Weight||155 lbs||155 lbs|
|Strikes Landed Per Minute||3.44||7.50|
Concerning grappling, Charles Oliveira is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he scores a takedown 2.50 times per 3 rounds. Oliveira is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of the times he tries and is stuffing 57% of all takedowns attempted on him. Gaethje is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 73% of the tries against him. In terms of going for the sub, Oliveira is the more skilled fighter by going for 2.8 subs per 15 min while Gaethje attempts 0.7 subs per 15 min.
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In his last bout, Charles Oliveira fought Dustin Poirier and ended up getting the victory by rear naked choke in round 3. Poirier ended up landing 69 of 105 total strikes that he let go. Oliveira ended the night having landed 98 of 157 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Poirier ended up landing 58 of 94, which gave him a rate of 61%. He landed 56 of 92 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Oliveira ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by connecting on 73 of 131. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 48 of 99 aimed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Poirier and 52% of them connected on by Oliveira were done at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Justin Gaethje, he squared up with Michael Chandler and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Chandler ended up landing 96% of his significant strikes at distance and Gaethje ended up landing 87% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Gaethje ended up landing 63% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 116 of 183. He ended up landing 83 of 143 significant strikes to the head. Chandler landed 103 of 245 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 64 of 199 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Chandler connected on 104 of 246 and Gaethje connected on 133 of 205 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Michael Chandler enters the Octagon against Tony Ferguson. Chandler steps into the cage holding a mark of 22-7-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Ferguson measures 5'11" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 26-6-0. The 38-year-old extends his reach 76". In terms of takedowns, Michael Chandler gets his opposition to the mat 1.73 times per 3 rds while Tony Ferguson is averaging a takedown 0.42 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Chandler lands 5.17 strikes per minute and connects on 46% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Tony Ferguson, who is connecting on 45% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 5.15 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Ovince Saint Preux is set to face off against Mauricio Rua. Rua looks to add a victory to his career record of 27-12-1. The 40-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Saint Preux measures 6'3" and weighs 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 25-16-0. The 39-year-old stretches 80". Concerning grappling, Mauricio Rua is able to stop 47% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown tries on 48% of his tries. Saint Preux is taking his opponents down on 38% of the tries he takes and thwarts 66% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Rua takes 2.71 strikes/minute and he is landing 3.57 per min. Saint Preux, on the other hand, absorbs 3.07 strikes per minute and is dishing out 2.65 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Charles Oliveira (-165)
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