Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane Pick, 1/22/2022 Predictions UFC 270 Odds

Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane

UFC 270

Honda Center in Anaheim, CA

Saturday, January 22, 2022

Francis Ngannou will take on Ciryl Gane at UFC 270 on Saturday, January 22, 2022. The moneyline has Ngannou coming in at +130 while Gane is coming in at -150.

Francis "The Predator" Ngannou walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 16-3-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 250 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 83". Ciryl "Bon Gamin" Gane measures in at 6'4" and steps on the scale at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-0-0. The 31-year-old stretches 81". Concerning significant strikes, Francis Ngannou connects on 2.54 per minute and Ciryl Gane lands 5.37 significant strikes per min. Ngannou is landing 41% of the significant strikes he tries and Gane lands 57%. Regarding defense, "The Predator" absorbs 2.04 significant strikes per minute and "Bon Gamin" absorbs 2.40. Ngannou also curbs 45% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Gane stops 62% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of takedowns, Francis Ngannou is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.20 times per 3 rds. Ngannou is scoring a takedown on 33% of his tries and is defending 72% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Gane is finishing his takedown tries on 20% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 100% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Ngannou is the more capable fighter by trying 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Gane tries 0.3 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Francis Ngannou squared up with Stipe Miocic and ended up getting the win by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Miocic landed 12 of 13 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Ngannou ended the night having landed 38 of 58 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Miocic landed 12 of 13, which means his percentage was 92%. He finished the fight landing 3 of 4 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Ngannou landed 64% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 36 of 56. Of all the significant strikes, he was 28 of 46 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Miocic and 47% of them landed by Ngannou were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Ciryl Gane, he fought Derrick Lewis and ended up getting the win by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Lewis connected on 93% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Gane landed 68% of his significant strikes at distance. Gane connected on 80% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 98 of 122. He ended up connecting on 50 of 69 significant strikes to the head. Lewis ended up connecting on 16 of 37 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 8 of 24 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he threw in that fight, Lewis landed 16 of 37 and Gane ended up connecting on 112 of 136 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Brandon Moreno takes on Deiveson Figueiredo. Moreno will be looking to add a win to his career record of 19-5-2. The 28-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Figueiredo measures in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 20-2-1. The 34-year-old stretches 68". In the grappling category, Brandon Moreno gets a takedown 2.05 times per 15 minutes while Deiveson Figueiredo takes his opponents to the mat 1.54 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Moreno lands 3.44 strikes/minute and is landing 39% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Deiveson Figueiredo, who lands 56% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 3.24 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Aleksei Oleinik is set to face off with Greg Hardy. Hardy steps into the Octagon holding a record of 7-4-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 265 lbs and measures in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Oleinik comes in at 6'2" and is fighting at 240 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 59-16-1. The 44-year-old reaches 80". When it comes to takedowns, Greg Hardy prevents 80% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedowns on 33% of the times he tries. Oleinik is finishing his takedowns on 46% of his tries and is able to curb 33% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Hardy is taking 3.22 strikes/min while he dishes out 4.84 strikes/minute. Oleinik, moreover, takes 3.99 strikes per min and is dealing 3.55 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Francis Ngannou (+130)

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