Grant Dawson vs Mark Madsen Pick, 11/5/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 64 Odds

Grant Dawson vs Mark Madsen

UFC Vegas 64

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 5, 2022

Grant Dawson will face off with Mark Madsen at UFC Vegas 64 on Saturday, November 5, 2022. The moneyline has Dawson coming in at -230 while Madsen is priced at +195.

Grant "KGD" Dawson looks to add a victory to his career record of 18-1-1. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The switch fighter reaches 72". Mark "The Olympian" Madsen measures in at 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-0-0. The 38-year-old has a reach of 72". Concerning significant strikes, Grant Dawson is landing 3.17 per min while Mark Madsen connects on 3.77 significant strikes per minute. Dawson is landing 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while Madsen connects on 47%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "KGD" absorbs 2.56 significant strikes per min and "The Olympian" allows 3.92. Dawson also stops 45% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Madsen is able to stop 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In the grappling category, Grant Dawson is the more productive wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 3.97 times per 3 rounds. Dawson is scoring a takedown on 34% of his attempts and stuffing 40% of the takedowns his opponents try. Madsen is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 50% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Dawson is the more capable fighter by trying 1.4 submissions per 15 min while Madsen goes for 0.6 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Grant Dawson fought Jared Gordon and wound up getting the win by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Gordon landed 111 of 153 total strikes attempted in that contest. Dawson ended the night having landed 98 of 163 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Gordon ended up landing 77 of 119, which means his percentage was 64%. He ended up landing 48 of 83 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Dawson landed 48% of his significant strikes by landing 54 of 111. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 42 of 96 aimed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Gordon and 74% of them landed by Dawson were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Mark Madsen, he went up against Vinc Pichel and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Pichel ended up landing 77% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Madsen ended up landing 82% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Madsen connected on 44% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 39 of 87. He ended up connecting on 27 of 75 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pichel ended up landing 68 of 123 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 32 of 78 aimed at the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Pichel connected on 88 of 144 while Madsen ended up connecting on 57 of 110 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Jailton Almeida battles Maxim Grishin. Almeida holds a career mark of 17-2-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Grishin measures in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 32-9-2. The 38-year-old has a reach of 78". In the grappling category, Jailton Almeida gets his opposition to the mat 7.18 times per 15 min while Maxim Grishin scores a takedown 0.27 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Almeida lands an average of 3.56 strikes/min and connects on 57% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Maxim Grishin, who tags his opponent on 52% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 3.40 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is set to square up with Darrick Minner. Minner comes into this bout holding a record of 26-13-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Nuerdanbieke measures 5'8" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 38-10-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding takedowns, Darrick Minner thwarts 66% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 72% of the times he tries. Nuerdanbieke is taking his opponents down on 32% of the attempts he tries and curbs 40% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Minner absorbs 1.95 strikes/minute while he dishes out 2.58 per minute. Nuerdanbieke, at the same time, is taking 2.89 strikes per minute and deals 1.80 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mark Madsen (+195)

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