Hakeem Dawodu vs Julian Erosa Pick, 9/10/2022 Predictions UFC 279 Odds

Hakeem Dawodu vs Julian Erosa

UFC 279

T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV

Saturday, September 10, 2022

Hakeem Dawodu will take on Julian Erosa at UFC 279 on Saturday, September 10, 2022. The odds have Dawodu priced at -210 while Erosa is coming in at +180.

Hakeem "Mean" Dawodu comes into this fight holding a mark of 13-2-1. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Julian "Juicy J" Erosa stands in at 6'1" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 27-10-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 74". With respect to significant strikes, Hakeem Dawodu is connecting on 5.39 per minute while Julian Erosa is connecting on 6.29 significant strikes per minute. Dawodu lands 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while Erosa connects on 48%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Mean" allows 2.72 significant strikes per minute while "Juicy J" allows 6.51. Dawodu also stops 59% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Erosa is able to deflect 48% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In the category of takedowns, Hakeem Dawodu is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.40 times per 15 minutes. Dawodu is scoring a takedown on 15% of his attempts and is stuffing 65% of all takedowns attempted on him. Erosa is finishing his takedown tries on 52% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 61% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Dawodu is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.4 subs per 15 min while Erosa tries 0.8 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Hakeem Dawodu squared up with Michael Trizano and took home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Trizano landed 94 of 158 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Dawodu ended the night having landed 189 of 266 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Trizano ended up landing 70 of 133, which gave him a rate of 52%. He finished the fight landing 36 of 94 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Dawodu landed 65% of his significant strikes by landing 141 of 214. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 60 of 121 to the head. 77% of the significant strikes connected on by Trizano and 87% of them connected on by Dawodu were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Julian Erosa, he battled Steven Peterson and ended up getting the win via split decision in round 3. Peterson connected on 89% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Erosa landed 90% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Erosa connected on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 155 of 291. He ended up connecting on 120 of 242 significant strikes aimed at the head. Peterson landed 148 of 247 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 113 of 204 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Peterson connected on 174 of 276 and Erosa was 163 of 300 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Shamil Abdurakhimov enters the Octagon with Jailton Almeida. Abdurakhimov steps into the cage with a mark of 20-7-0. The 41-year-old tips the scales at 235 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Almeida stands in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 16-2-0. The 31-year-old stretches 79". Regarding grappling, Shamil Abdurakhimov is able to score a takedown 1.09 times per 3 rounds while Jailton Almeida scores a takedown 6.27 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Abdurakhimov lands 2.60 strikes per min and is connecting on 44% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Jailton Almeida, who is landing 53% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.48 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jamie Pickett is set to square up in the Octagon against Denis Tiuliulin. Tiuliulin comes into this bout with a record of 10-6-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Pickett stands in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 13-7-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 80". In terms of grappling, Denis Tiuliulin thwarts 33% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his attempts. Pickett is finishing his takedown tries on 47% of his tries and is able to thwart 64% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Tiuliulin absorbs 6.03 strikes per minute and he lands 4.45 strikes/minute. Pickett, moreover, is absorbing 3.97 strikes/min and is connecting on 2.89 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Hakeem Dawodu (-210)

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