Jai Herbert vs Kyle Nelson Pick, 7/23/2022 Predictions UFC London Odds

Jai Herbert vs Kyle Nelson

UFC London

O2 Arena in London, England

Saturday, July 23, 2022

Jai Herbert will face off against Kyle Nelson at UFC London on Saturday, July 23, 2022. The opening line has Herbert priced at -275 while Nelson is at +230.

Jai "Black Country Banger" Herbert looks to add a victory to his total of 11-4-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Kyle "The Monster" Nelson measures 5'11" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Regarding significant strikes, Jai Herbert is connecting on 2.47 per minute and Kyle Nelson lands 3.63 significant strikes per minute. Herbert connects on 36% of the significant strikes he tries and Nelson connects on 41%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Black Country Banger" takes 2.90 significant strikes per minute and "The Monster" absorbs 6.82. Herbert also deflects 45% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Nelson stops 47% of the strikes thrown his way.

In terms of wrestling, Jai Herbert is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.40 times per 3 rounds. Herbert is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the times he tries and is stuffing 42% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Nelson is finishing his takedowns on 12% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Herbert is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.6 subs per 15 minutes while Nelson goes for 1.9 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Jai Herbert squared up with Ilia Topuria and wound up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Topuria landed 31 of 55 total strikes that he let go. Herbert walked away from this fight having landed 50 of 94 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Topuria landed 20 of 41, giving him a percentage of 48%. He ended up landing 17 of 37 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Herbert landed 34% of his significant strikes by sticking 22 of 63. Of those significant strikes, he was 20 of 60 pointed at the head. 70% of the significant strikes connected on by Topuria and 86% of them landed by Herbert were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Kyle Nelson, he went up against Billy Quarantillo and walked away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 3. Quarantillo ended up connecting on 87% of his significant strikes at distance and Nelson connected on 76% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Nelson ended up connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 56 of 114. He landed 40 of 91 significant strikes directed at the head. Quarantillo connected on 79 of 150 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 52 of 117 to the head. In relation to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Quarantillo ended up connecting on 112 of 185 while Nelson connected on 62 of 120 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Claudio Silva battles Nicolas Dalby. Silva comes into this bout holding a record of 14-3-0. The 39-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 71". Dalby stands in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 19-4-1 (2 NC). The 37-year-old stretches 74". Regarding grappling, Claudio Silva scores a takedown 2.63 times per 15 min and Nicolas Dalby is able to score a takedown 1.25 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Silva is connecting on 2.81 strikes per min and landing 41% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Nicolas Dalby, who connects on 38% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 3.26 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Hannah Goldy is set to face off with Molly McCann. McCann comes into this bout holding a record of 12-4-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 62". Goldy comes in at 5'4" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 6-2-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 61". Regarding takedowns, Molly McCann is thwarting 34% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 36% of the times she tries. Goldy is finishing her takedown tries on 33% of her tries and prevents 50% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, McCann is absorbing 4.93 strikes per min and she is landing 5.83 strikes/minute. Goldy, at the same time, takes 4.85 strikes/min and is landing 6.05 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jai Herbert (-275)

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