Journey Newson vs Fernie Garcia Pick, 5/7/2022 Predictions UFC 274 Odds

Journey Newson vs Fernie Garcia

UFC 274

Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ

Saturday, May 7, 2022

Journey Newson will face off against Fernie Garcia at UFC 274 on Saturday, May 7, 2022. The opener has Newson at +130 while Garcia is priced at -150.

Journey Newson steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-3-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Fernie Garcia measures in at 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 10-1-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 67". Concerning significant strikes, Journey Newson is connecting on 2.76 per minute while Fernie Garcia is connecting on 5.54 significant strikes per minute. Newson connects on 32% of the significant strikes he attempts and Garcia is landing 38%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Newson takes 2.76 significant strikes per min while Garcia takes 6.92. Newson also defends against 65% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Garcia thwarts 40% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In terms of grappling, Journey Newson is the more apt grappler as he scores a takedown 0.90 times per 15 minutes. Newson is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of his tries and defending 10% of all takedown tries against him. Garcia is taking his opponents to the canvas on 10% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the sub, Newson is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.9 submissions per 3 rds while Garcia looks to get 0.5 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Journey Newson squared up with Randy Costa and walked away with a loss by way of a kick to the head in round 1. Costa ended up landing 4 of 6 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Newson ended the night having landed 1 of 5 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Costa landed 4 of 6, which gave him a percentage of 66%. He landed 4 of 6 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Newson ended up landing 20% of his significant strikes by connecting on 1 of 5. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 1 of 4 aimed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes connected on by Costa and 100% of them landed by Newson were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Fernie Garcia, he went up against Joshua Weems and wound up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Weems landed 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Garcia connected on 50% of his significant strikes at distance. Garcia ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 12 of 31. He ended up landing 10 of 29 significant strikes directed at the head. Weems ended up landing 15 of 25 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 6 of 13 aimed at the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Weems connected on 15 of 26 while Garcia ended up connecting on 12 of 31 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Rose Namajunas faces off with Carla Esparza. Namajunas walks into the Octagon holding a record of 12-4-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Esparza measures 5'1" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 19-6-0. The 34-year-old stretches 63". In terms of takedowns, Rose Namajunas is able to score a takedown 1.78 times per 15 min and Carla Esparza is able to score a takedown 3.53 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Namajunas lands an average of 4.01 strikes/minute and is connecting on 41% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Carla Esparza, who is landing 43% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 2.34 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Norma Dumont is set to clash with Macy Chiasson. Chiasson walks into the cage holding a mark of 8-2-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Dumont measures in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 7-1-0. The 31-year-old stretches 67". Concerning wrestling, Macy Chiasson is able to defend against 64% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 23% of her tries. Dumont is taking her opponents to the mat on 45% of her tries and curbs 80% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Chiasson absorbs 2.56 strikes/min while she lands 4.04 strikes/minute. Dumont, notwithstanding, is absorbing 2.20 strikes/min and is landing 3.96 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Fernie Garcia (-150)

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