Julio Arce vs Montel Jackson Pick, 11/12/2022 Predictions UFC 281 Odds

Julio Arce vs Montel Jackson

UFC 281

Madison Square Garden in NYC

Saturday, November 12, 2022

Julio Arce will battle Montel Jackson at UFC 281 on Saturday, November 12, 2022. The odds have Arce at +170 while Jackson is priced at -200.

Julio Arce walks into the Octagon holding a record of 18-5-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Montel "Quik" Jackson comes in at 5'10" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his total of 11-2-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding significant strikes, Julio Arce is landing 4.74 per minute while Montel Jackson connects on 3.42 significant strikes per minute. Arce is connecting on 37% of the significant strikes he attempts and Jackson connects on 55%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Arce absorbs 3.08 significant strikes per min while "Quik" takes 1.34. Arce also defends 69% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Jackson is able to curb 57% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning wrestling, Julio Arce is the not as competent as a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.42 times per 3 rounds. Arce is getting his opponent to the mat on 27% of his attempts and is defending 94% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Jackson is getting his opponent to the mat on 78% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 68% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Arce is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.4 subs per 15 min while Jackson attempts 0.3 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Julio Arce went up against Daniel Santos and ended up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Santos landed 49 of 229 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Arce ended the night having landed 127 of 265 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Santos ended up landing 49 of 229, which means his percentage was 21%. He landed 27 of 197 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Arce landed 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 127 of 265. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 100 of 228 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Santos and 98% of them connected on by Arce were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Montel Jackson, he squared up with JP Buys and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Buys ended up landing 75% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Jackson landed 44% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Jackson landed 58% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 25 of 43. He landed 18 of 36 significant strikes to the head. Buys ended up landing 8 of 24 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 3 of 10 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Buys ended up landing 39 of 60 and Jackson was 91 of 117 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Carlos Ulberg squares up against Nicolae Negumereanu. Ulberg walks into the cage with a mark of 7-1-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Negumereanu measures 6'0" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-1-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 78". Regarding grappling, Carlos Ulberg is able to score a takedown 1.13 times per 3 rds while Nicolae Negumereanu is able to score a takedown 1.09 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Ulberg lands 8.91 strikes per min and landing 62% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Nicolae Negumereanu, who lands 41% of the strikes he attempts and lands 3.79 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Zhang Weili is set to take on Carla Esparza. Esparza has a career mark of 20-6-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 63". Weili comes in at 5'4" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 22-3-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 63". In terms of grappling, Carla Esparza is able to thwart 47% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 35% of her tries. Weili is finishing her takedown tries on 34% of her tries and is able to stop 60% of all takedown tries against her. In the category of striking, Esparza is taking 2.59 strikes/minute and she is landing 2.20 per minute. Weili, on the contrary, takes 4.26 strikes/min and is dishing out 5.78 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Montel Jackson (-200)

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