Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Silvana Gomez Juarez Pick, 11/12/2022 Predictions UFC 281 Odds
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Silvana Gomez Juarez
Madison Square Garden in NYC
Saturday, November 12, 2022
Karolina Kowalkiewicz will face off with Silvana Gomez Juarez at UFC 281 on Saturday, November 12, 2022. The opening moneyline has Kowalkiewicz priced at -114 while Juarez is coming in at -106.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz looks to add a win to her record of 13-7-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and measures 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Silvana "La Malvada" Gomez Juarez stands in at 5'3" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 11-4-0. The 37-year-old extends her reach 65". In the category of significant strikes, Karolina Kowalkiewicz lands 5.38 per min and Silvana Gomez Juarez is connecting on 2.62 significant strikes per minute. Kowalkiewicz connects on 41% of the significant strikes she attempts while Gomez Juarez connects on 48%. In terms of defending themselves, Kowalkiewicz absorbs 5.59 significant strikes per min while "La Malvada" takes 2.37. Kowalkiewicz also stops 56% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Gomez Juarez is able to thwart 54% of the strikes thrown her way.
|UFC 281||Karolina Kowalkiewicz||Silvana Gomez Juarez|
|Average Fight Time||12:35||2:40|
|Weight||115 lbs||115 lbs|
|Strikes Landed Per Minute||5.38||2.62|
Regarding grappling, Karolina Kowalkiewicz is the not as competent as a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.18 times per 15 min. Kowalkiewicz is scoring a takedown on 18% of her tries and defending 75% of the takedowns her opponents try. Gomez Juarez is taking her opponents to the canvas on 15% of the takedowns she tries and is defending 37% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Kowalkiewicz is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds while Gomez Juarez goes for 0.2 finishes per 3 rds.
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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Karolina Kowalkiewicz squared up with Felice Herrig and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Herrig landed 59 of 126 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Kowalkiewicz ended the night having landed 102 of 146 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Herrig landed 55 of 122, which gave her a rate of 45%. She finished the fight landing 34 of 92 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Kowalkiewicz landed 66% of her significant strikes by landing 82 of 123. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she connected on 54 of 94 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes landed by Herrig and 69% of them connected on by Kowalkiewicz were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Silvana Gomez Juarez, she squared up with Liang Na and took home the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Na connected on 100% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Juarez ended up connecting on 75% of her significant strikes at distance. Juarez ended up landing 66% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 8 of 12. She landed 8 of 12 significant strikes directed at the head. Na connected on 4 of 17 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 4 of 17 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that she threw in that fight, Na landed 4 of 17 while Juarez ended up landing 10 of 14 of all the strikes she attempted.
Other bouts to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Israel Adesanya squares up in the Octagon against Alex Pereira. Adesanya steps into the cage with a mark of 23-1-0. The 33-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The switch fighter reaches 80". Pereira measures 6'4" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 6-1-0. The 35-year-old reaches 79". Regarding grappling, Israel Adesanya takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rounds and Alex Pereira gets a takedown 0.20 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Adesanya is landing 3.93 strikes/min and is landing 49% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Alex Pereira, who is landing 60% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 6.29 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Michael Chandler is set to square up with Dustin Poirier. Poirier comes into this bout holding a record of 28-7-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Chandler comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 23-7-0. The 36-year-old reaches 71". When it comes to takedowns, Dustin Poirier deflects 64% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 36% of his tries. Chandler is finishing his takedowns on 36% of his tries and is able to curb 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Poirier is absorbing 4.28 strikes/minute while he is dealing 5.61 per minute. Chandler, on the other hand, takes 4.87 strikes per min and is landing 5.17 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Karolina Kowalkiewicz (-114)
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