Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez Pick, 9/10/2022 Predictions UFC 279 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/6/2022

ufc picks Daniel Rodriguez predictions best bet odds

Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez

UFC 279

T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV

Saturday, September 10, 2022

Kevin Holland will battle Daniel Rodriguez at UFC 279 on Saturday, September 10, 2022. The line has Holland at -195 while Rodriguez is at +165.

Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland comes into this fight with a mark of 23-7-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 81". Daniel "D-Rod" Rodriguez measures 6'1" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 16-2-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 74". In terms of significant strikes, Kevin Holland connects on 3.90 per min while Daniel Rodriguez lands 8.06 significant strikes per min. Holland is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he tries and Rodriguez is connecting on 50%. In terms of defending themselves, "Trailblazer" allows 2.41 significant strikes per minute while "D-Rod" absorbs 5.38. Holland also curbs 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Rodriguez is able to thwart 57% of the shots thrown his way.

UFC 279	Kevin Holland	Daniel Rodriguez
Opening Odds	-195	+165
Record	23-7-0 (1 NC)	16-2-0
Average Fight Time	11:12	11:14
Height	6'3"	6'1"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	81"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.90	8.06
Striking Accuracy	54%	50%

Regarding wrestling, Kevin Holland is the not as competent as a wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.84 times per 15 min. Holland is taking his opponents to the canvas on 43% of his attempts and stopping 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Rodriguez is finishing his takedowns on 55% of the takedowns he tries and defending 76% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Holland is the more able fighter by trying 0.6 submissions per 3 rds while Rodriguez looks to get 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Kevin Holland fought Tim Means and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of d'arce choke in round 2. Means landed 25 of 52 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Holland walked away from this fight having landed 53 of 109 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Means ended up landing 21 of 46, giving him a percentage of 45%. He ended up landing 8 of 25 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Holland landed 40% of his significant strikes by sticking 36 of 90. Of all the significant strikes, he was 26 of 71 pointed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes landed by Means and 91% of them connected on by Holland were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Daniel Rodriguez, he faced off with Kevin Lee and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Lee ended up connecting on 98% of his significant strikes at distance and Rodriguez landed 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Rodriguez landed 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 120 of 210. He ended up landing 87 of 175 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lee connected on 56 of 160 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 39 of 134 directed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Lee landed 74 of 181 while Rodriguez ended up connecting on 137 of 229 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Johnny Walker battles Ion Cutelaba. Walker looks to add a win to his total of 18-7-0. The 30-year-old weighs 205 lbs and stands 6'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 82". Cutelaba stands 6'1" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 16-7-1 (1 NC). The 28-year-old reaches 75". Regarding grappling, Johnny Walker takes his opponents to the canvas 0.23 times per 3 rds and Ion Cutelaba takes his opponents to the mat 4.75 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Walker lands an average of 3.45 strikes per min and connects on 58% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Ion Cutelaba, who tags his opponent on 42% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 4.81 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Julian Erosa is set to square up in the Octagon with Hakeem Dawodu. Dawodu comes into this fight holding a mark of 13-2-1. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Erosa stands in at 6'1" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 27-10-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding takedowns, Hakeem Dawodu is preventing 65% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries. Erosa is finishing his takedowns on 52% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 61% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Dawodu absorbs 2.72 strikes/min and he is landing 5.39 strikes per min. Erosa, in contrast, takes 6.51 strikes/min and is dealing 6.29 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Kevin Holland (-195)

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Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez Pick, 9/10/2022 Predictions UFC 279 Odds

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