Matheus Nicolau vs Matt Schnell Pick, 12/3/2022 Predictions UFC Orlando Odds
Matheus Nicolau vs Matt Schnell
UFC Orlando
Amway Center in Orlando, FL
Saturday, December 3, 2022
Matheus Nicolau will face off against Matt Schnell at UFC Orlando on Saturday, December 3, 2022. The odds have Nicolau coming in at -365 while Schnell is priced at +300.
Matheus Nicolau will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-3-1. The 29-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 66". Matt "Danger" Schnell stands 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 16-6-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has an arm span of 70". Concerning significant strikes, Matheus Nicolau lands 3.64 per minute and Matt Schnell connects on 4.34 significant strikes per minute. Nicolau lands 52% of the significant strikes he throws while Schnell connects on 39%. Regarding defense, Nicolau allows 3.09 significant strikes per minute while "Danger" absorbs 4.44. Nicolau also prevents 67% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Schnell is able to thwart 57% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Orlando | Matheus Nicolau | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -365 | +300 |
| Record | 18-3-1 | 16-6-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 13:11 | 8:04 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 66" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.64 | 4.34 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 39% |
In terms of wrestling, Matheus Nicolau is the more productive wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.46 times per 15 min. Nicolau is getting his opponent to the mat on 42% of his attempts and stopping 93% of all takedown tries against him. Schnell is taking his opponents to the canvas on 44% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 50% of the attempts against him. In terms of going for the sub, Nicolau is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 1.0 finish per 3 rounds while Schnell goes for 1.2 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his last fight, Matheus Nicolau faced David Dvorak and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Dvorak landed 60 of 134 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Nicolau walked away from this fight having landed 46 of 94 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Dvorak landed 39 of 110, which gave him a rate of 35%. He landed 25 of 87 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Nicolau landed 44% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 36 of 81. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 21 of 62 to the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Dvorak and 91% of them connected on by Nicolau were done at distance.
In the last fight for Matt Schnell, he fought Sumudaerji and ended up getting the victory by way of a triangle choke in round 2. Sumudaerji connected on 60% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Schnell landed 34% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Schnell ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 47 of 81. He ended up connecting on 36 of 70 significant strikes to the head. Sumudaerji ended up landing 58 of 83 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 37 of 61 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Sumudaerji connected on 67 of 92 while Schnell connected on 79 of 120 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights on the card to watch out for
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Tai Tuivasa meets Sergei Pavlovich. Tuivasa looks to add a victory to his record of 15-4-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 264 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Pavlovich measures in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 257 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 16-1-0. The 30-year-old stretches 84". When it comes to grappling, Tai Tuivasa takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 3 rds while Sergei Pavlovich is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Tuivasa is connecting on 4.12 strikes per min and connecting on 50% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Sergei Pavlovich, who tags the opposition on 51% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 6.83 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Kyle Daukaus is set to enter the Octagon against Eryk Anders. Anders will be looking to add a win to his record of 14-7-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Daukaus stands 6'3" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a record of 11-3-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old reaches 76". Regarding wrestling, Eryk Anders deflects 75% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedowns on 25% of his attempts. Daukaus is finishing his takedown tries on 31% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 86% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Anders is absorbing 4.20 strikes per min and he is dishing out 3.26 strikes/min. Daukaus, moreover, is taking 2.56 strikes/min and dishes out 3.05 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take Matheus Nicolau (-365)
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