Raulian Paiva vs Sergey Morozov Pick, 6/25/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 57 Odds

Raulian Paiva vs Sergey Morozov

UFC Vegas 57

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 25, 2022

Raulian Paiva will take on Sergey Morozov at UFC Vegas 57 on Saturday, June 25, 2022. The opener has Paiva coming in at +120 while Morozov is coming in at -140.

Raulian Paiva comes into this bout with a mark of 21-4-0. The 26-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Sergey Morozov stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 17-5-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 67". In the category of significant strikes, Raulian Paiva connects on 4.13 per minute and Sergey Morozov connects on 2.78 significant strikes per min. Paiva is landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempts while Morozov connects on 44%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Paiva takes 5.11 significant strikes per minute while Morozov absorbs 2.96. Paiva also thwarts 48% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Morozov is able to defend against 58% of the shots thrown.

In the category of takedowns, Raulian Paiva is the not as competent as a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.58 times per 3 rounds. Paiva is finishing his takedown attempts on 23% of the times he tries and is stopping 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Morozov is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 61% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submissions, Paiva is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.2 finishes per 15 min while Morozov looks to get 0.4 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Raulian Paiva squared up with Sean O'Malley and ended up walking away in defeat by a punch to the head in round 1. O'Malley landed 40 of 63 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Paiva ended the night having landed 11 of 47 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, O'Malley landed 39 of 62, which means his percentage was 62%. He landed 28 of 50 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Paiva landed 23% of his significant strikes by sticking 11 of 47. Of those significant strikes, he was 2 of 32 pointed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by O'Malley and 100% of them connected on by Paiva were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Sergey Morozov, he went up against Douglas Silva de Andrade and walked away with a loss via rear naked choke in round 2. Andrade ended up connecting on 83% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Morozov ended up landing 78% of his significant strikes at distance. Morozov landed 49% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 32 of 65. He connected on 24 of 56 significant strikes to the head. Andrade landed 37 of 64 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 16 of 40 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Andrade landed 57 of 86 and Morozov ended up connecting on 62 of 99 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when JP Buys squares up against Cody Durden. Buys steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-4-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Durden measures 5'7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 12-4-1. The 31-year-old stretches 67". In terms of takedowns, JP Buys takes his opponents to the canvas 1.70 times per 3 rds and Cody Durden takes his opponents to the canvas 4.38 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Buys tags his opponents 1.76 strikes/min and connects on 43% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Cody Durden, who lands 46% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 3.44 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Mario Bautista is set to square up with Brian Kelleher. Kelleher looks to add a victory to his record of 24-13-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The switch fighter reaches 66". Bautista measures 5'9" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-2-0. The 28-year-old reaches 69". Concerning grappling, Brian Kelleher is able to thwart 63% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 42% of his attempts. Bautista is finishing his takedowns on 55% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 66% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Kelleher takes 4.66 strikes per minute and he deals 3.41 strikes/min. Bautista, in contrast, is taking 4.13 strikes per minute and is connecting on 5.42 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Raulian Paiva (+120)

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