Robbie Lawler vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Pick, 12/10/2022 Predictions UFC 282 Odds
Robbie Lawler vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
UFC 282
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, December 10, 2022
Robbie Lawler will face off with Santiago Ponzinibbio at UFC 282 on Saturday, December 10, 2022. The opening odds have Lawler priced at +320 while Ponzinibbio is priced at -390.
Robbie "Ruthless" Lawler will be looking to add a victory to his record of 29-16-0 (1 NC). The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Santiago "Argentine Dagger" Ponzinibbio measures in at 6'0" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 29-6-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Concerning significant strikes, Robbie Lawler is connecting on 3.83 per min and Santiago Ponzinibbio connects on 5.00 significant strikes per minute. Lawler is landing 46% of the significant strikes he tries while Ponzinibbio connects on 41%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Ruthless" absorbs 4.67 significant strikes per min and "Argentine Dagger" allows 4.77. Lawler also thwarts 59% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Ponzinibbio is able to deflect 60% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC 282 | Robbie Lawler | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +320 | -390 |
| Record | 29-16-0 (1 NC) | 29-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:34 | 10:46 |
| Height | 5'11" | 6'0" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 73" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.83 | 5.00 |
| Striking Accuracy | 46% | 41% |
In the grappling category, Robbie Lawler is the better grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.65 times per 15 min. Lawler is scoring a takedown on 64% of the times he tries and stuffing 65% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Ponzinibbio is taking his opponents to the canvas on 31% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Lawler is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Ponzinibbio tries 0.6 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Robbie Lawler faced Bryan Barberena and wound up losing the fight via a punch to the head in round 2. Barberena landed 148 of 317 total strikes attempted in that contest. Lawler walked away from this fight having landed 81 of 141 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Barberena ended up landing 147 of 316, giving him a percentage of 46%. He landed 116 of 280 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Lawler ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 81 of 141. Of those significant strikes, he was 65 of 124 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Barberena and 96% of them landed by Lawler were done at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Santiago Ponzinibbio, he battled Michel Pereira and wound up losing the fight by split decision in round 3. Pereira connected on 98% of his significant strikes at distance while Ponzinibbio ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Ponzinibbio landed 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 105 of 220. He ended up landing 78 of 185 significant strikes to the head. Pereira connected on 110 of 216 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 52 of 143 to the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Pereira was 110 of 216 and Ponzinibbio landed 106 of 221 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Darren Till faces off with Dricus Du Plessis. Till steps into the cage holding a record of 18-4-1. The 29-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures 6'0". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 74". Du Plessis measures in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 17-2-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 76". In terms of takedowns, Darren Till gets a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes and Dricus Du Plessis takes his opponents to the mat 1.20 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Till connects on 2.26 strikes per minute and connecting on 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Dricus Du Plessis, who connects on 51% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 6.55 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Ilia Topuria is set to encounter Bryce Mitchell. Mitchell comes into this bout with a record of 15-1-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Topuria measures 5'7" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 12-0-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Concerning grappling, Bryce Mitchell prevents 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 52% of his tries. Topuria is finishing his takedowns on 46% of his tries and is able to thwart 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Mitchell absorbs 1.39 strikes per minute while he connects on 2.28 strikes per minute. Topuria, on the other side, is taking 2.28 strikes/minute and is dishing out 2.87 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take Robbie Lawler (+320)
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