Sam Alvey vs Phil Hawes Pick, 2/5/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 47 Odds

Sam Alvey vs Phil Hawes

UFC Vegas 47

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 5, 2022

Sam Alvey will enter the Octagon with Phil Hawes at UFC Vegas 47 on Saturday, February 5, 2022. The opening moneyline has Alvey coming in at +280 while Hawes is priced at -365.

Sam "Smile'N" Alvey looks to add a victory to his career total of 33-16-1. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 75". Phil "Megatron" Hawes stands 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 11-3-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 77". When talking about significant strikes, Sam Alvey connects on 3.29 per min and Phil Hawes is landing 4.20 significant strikes per min. Alvey connects on 44% of the significant strikes he attempts while Hawes is connecting on 56%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Smile'N" allows 3.52 significant strikes per min while "Megatron" takes 3.43. Alvey also defends against 53% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Hawes curbs 51% of them.

In the grappling category, Sam Alvey is the not as competent as a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.07 times per 3 rds. Alvey is finishing his takedown attempts on 16% of his tries and is stopping 81% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Hawes is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 80% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Alvey is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes while Hawes attempts 0.3 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Sam Alvey faced Wellington Turman and ended up losing the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Turman landed 75 of 126 total strikes attempted in that contest. Alvey walked away from this fight having landed 114 of 169 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Turman ended up landing 69 of 119, which gave him a percentage of 57%. He ended up landing 36 of 77 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Alvey ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by sticking 68 of 122. Out of those significant strikes, he was 55 of 105 pointed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes landed by Turman and 85% of them connected on by Alvey were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Phil Hawes, he fought Chris Curtis and wound up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Curtis ended up landing 85% of his significant strikes at distance while Hawes connected on 95% of his significant strikes at distance. Hawes ended up landing 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 48 of 90. He connected on 24 of 63 significant strikes directed at the head. Curtis landed 21 of 36 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 15 of 27 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Curtis ended up connecting on 22 of 37 and Hawes ended up landing 49 of 91 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Julian Erosa squares up against Steven Peterson. Erosa has a career record of 26-10-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 74". Peterson comes in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 19-9-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of takedowns, Julian Erosa takes his opponents to the mat 1.45 times per 15 minutes and Steven Peterson takes his opponents down 1.87 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Erosa is landing 5.55 strikes per minute and connects on 47% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Steven Peterson, who is landing 37% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 4.43 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when John Castaneda is set to square up against Miles Johns. Johns walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-1-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 66". Castaneda stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 18-5-0. The 30-year-old stretches 71". Regarding takedowns, Miles Johns curbs 92% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 30% of his attempts. Castaneda is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of his attempts and stops 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Johns is taking 2.50 strikes/minute while he is landing 4.03 per min. Castaneda, on the other hand, is absorbing 5.07 strikes per minute and dishes out 4.17 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Phil Hawes (-365)

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