Thiago Santos vs Jamahal Hill Pick, 8/6/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 59 Odds

Thiago Santos vs Jamahal Hill

UFC Vegas 59

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, August 6, 2022

Thiago Santos will enter the Octagon against Jamahal Hill at UFC Vegas 59 on Saturday, August 6, 2022. The opening line has Santos priced at +220 while Hill is priced at -260.

Thiago "Marreta" Santos will be looking to add a win to his career total of 22-10-0. The 38-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Jamahal "Sweet Dreams" Hill stands in at 6'4" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-1-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old has an arm span of 79". Regarding significant strikes, Thiago Santos is connecting on 3.77 per minute while Jamahal Hill lands 7.06 significant strikes per min. Santos connects on 47% of the significant strikes he tries while Hill lands 51%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Marreta" absorbs 2.37 significant strikes per min while "Sweet Dreams" absorbs 3.71. Santos also deflects 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Hill is able to stop 45% of them.

In terms of wrestling, Thiago Santos is the more skilled wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.54 times per 15 minutes. Santos is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of his attempts and is stopping 65% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Hill is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Santos is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Hill looks to get 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Thiago Santos went up against Magomed Ankalaev and was defeated via unanimous decision in round 5. Ankalaev landed 114 of 191 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Santos ended the night having landed 81 of 160 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Ankalaev ended up landing 78 of 155, which means his percentage was 50%. He ended up landing 33 of 94 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Santos landed 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 60 of 138. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 14 of 75 aimed at the head. 82% of the significant strikes connected on by Ankalaev and 95% of them connected on by Santos were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jamahal Hill, he squared up with Johnny Walker and ended up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Walker ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Hill landed 83% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Hill connected on 31% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 6 of 19. He landed 5 of 17 significant strikes aimed at the head. Walker connected on 12 of 25 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 4 of 15 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Walker was 12 of 25 and Hill ended up landing 7 of 20 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Vicente Luque faces off with Geoff Neal. Luque has a record of 21-8-1. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Neal stands in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 14-4-0. The 31-year-old stretches 75". In the grappling category, Vicente Luque scores a takedown 0.54 times per 15 minutes and Geoff Neal scores a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Luque is landing 5.30 strikes per minute and landing 53% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Geoff Neal, who is landing 49% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 4.63 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Serghei Spivac is set to clash with Augusto Sakai. Sakai has a career record of 15-4-1. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 265 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Spivac stands 6'3" and tips the scales at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-3-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 78". In the category of takedowns, Augusto Sakai prevents 68% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 33% of his tries. Spivac is finishing his takedowns on 60% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Sakai absorbs 4.09 strikes/min while he is landing 5.04 strikes/minute. Spivac, on the contrary, absorbs 3.22 strikes/minute and deals 3.79 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Thiago Santos (+220)

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