TJ Brown vs Erik Silva Pick, 12/10/2022 Predictions UFC 282 Odds

TJ Brown vs Erik Silva

UFC 282

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 10, 2022

TJ Brown will take on Erik Silva at UFC 282 on Saturday, December 10, 2022. The opening line has Brown priced at -115 while Silva is priced at -105.

TJ "Downtown" Brown steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-9-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 72". Erik "The King" Silva stands 5'9" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 9-1-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 71". With respect to significant strikes, TJ Brown is landing 3.68 per min and Erik Silva is landing 7.83 significant strikes per min. Brown is landing 43% of the significant strikes he attempts while Silva is connecting on 70%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Downtown" takes 2.88 significant strikes per minute and "The King" takes 0.80. Brown also curbs 50% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Silva is able to thwart 85% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In the category of takedowns, TJ Brown is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.86 times per 3 rounds. Brown is finishing his takedown attempts on 61% of his tries and thwarting 41% of all takedown tries against him. Silva is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of his takedown tries and is stopping 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Brown is the more able fighter by attempting 1.6 finishes per 3 rds while Silva goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, TJ Brown went up against Shayilan Nuerdanbieke and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Nuerdanbieke landed 86 of 121 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Brown ended the night having landed 58 of 125 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Nuerdanbieke landed 47 of 79, giving him a percentage of 59%. He finished the fight landing 41 of 73 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Brown ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 42 of 99. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 30 of 86 pointed at the head. 68% of the significant strikes landed by Nuerdanbieke and 85% of them connected on by Brown were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Erik Silva, he fought Anvar Boynazarov and got a win for the night by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Boynazarov landed 0% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Silva ended up connecting on 8% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Silva ended up landing 70% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 12 of 17. He connected on 12 of 17 significant strikes directed at the head. Boynazarov landed 0 of 2 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 0 of 2 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Boynazarov ended up landing 2 of 4 and Silva was 17 of 22 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Vinicius Salvador meets Daniel Da Silva. Salvador looks to add a victory to his total of 14-4-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter stretches 70.5". Da Silva stands in at 5'6" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The switch fighter holds a record of 11-4-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Regarding grappling, Vinicius Salvador gets a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rounds and Daniel Da Silva scores a takedown 1.40 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Salvador tags his opponents 8.43 strikes per minute and is landing 45% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Daniel Da Silva, who tags his opponent on 60% of the strikes he attempts and lands 4.29 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Magomed Ankalaev is set to face off against Jan Blachowicz. Blachowicz will be looking to add a victory to his total of 29-9-0. The 39-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Ankalaev stands 6'3" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 18-1-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 75". When it comes to takedowns, Jan Blachowicz is stopping 66% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 53% of his tries. Ankalaev is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his tries and stops 86% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Blachowicz absorbs 2.77 strikes/minute and he is dealing 3.55 strikes/minute. Ankalaev, in contrast, absorbs 2.14 strikes per minute and dishes out 3.64 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Erik Silva (-105)

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