Tracy Cortez vs Amanda Ribas Pick, 12/3/2022 Predictions UFC Orlando Odds

Tracy Cortez vs Amanda Ribas

UFC Orlando

Amway Center in Orlando, FL

Saturday, December 3, 2022

Tracy Cortez will take on Amanda Ribas at UFC Orlando on Saturday, December 3, 2022. The opening line has Cortez at -105 while Ribas is coming in at -115.

Tracy Cortez looks to add a win to her total of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Amanda Ribas stands in at 5'3" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 11-3-0. The 29-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding significant strikes, Tracy Cortez is connecting on 3.56 per min and Amanda Ribas lands 4.46 significant strikes per minute. Cortez connects on 54% of the significant strikes she tries while Ribas is landing 40%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Cortez absorbs 2.32 significant strikes per min and Ribas takes 2.57. Cortez also curbs 59% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Ribas is able to curb 70% of the strikes thrown her way.

Regarding grappling, Tracy Cortez is the more effective grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.80 times per 3 rounds. Cortez is scoring a takedown on 48% of the times she tries and stopping 71% of the takedowns her opponents try. Ribas is scoring a takedown on 47% of the takedowns she tries and stopping 88% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Cortez is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Ribas attempts 1.2 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Tracy Cortez fought Melissa Gatto and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Gatto landed 49 of 95 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Cortez finished this fight landing 70 of 102 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Gatto ended up landing 30 of 73, which gave her a rate of 41%. She ended up landing 25 of 61 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Cortez ended up landing 54% of her significant strikes by landing 36 of 66. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she was 25 of 51 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Gatto and 38% of them landed by Cortez were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Amanda Ribas, she battled Katlyn Chookagian and ended up losing the fight by split decision in round 3. Chookagian ended up landing 88% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Ribas connected on 89% of her significant strikes at distance. Ribas connected on 32% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 55 of 169. She ended up connecting on 28 of 124 significant strikes to the head. Chookagian ended up landing 63 of 222 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she landed 42 of 175 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that she threw in that fight, Chookagian ended up landing 71 of 230 and Ribas connected on 84 of 204 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Yazmin Jauregui squares up against Istela Nunes. Jauregui has a career record of 9-0-0. The 23-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 64". Nunes measures 5'4" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 6-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old stretches 66". When it comes to grappling, Yazmin Jauregui is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes and Istela Nunes is able to score a takedown 0.20 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Jauregui is connecting on 5.73 strikes/minute and is connecting on 39% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Istela Nunes, who is landing 43% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 5.40 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Kevin Holland is set to enter the Octagon against Stephen Thompson. Thompson looks to add a victory to his career total of 16-6-1. The 39-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Holland comes in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 23-8-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old stretches 81". When it comes to takedowns, Stephen Thompson is preventing 63% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 41% of his tries. Holland is taking his opponents down on 43% of the attempts he tries and prevents 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Thompson is absorbing 2.81 strikes/minute while he is dealing 3.90 per min. Holland, on the other side, is absorbing 2.38 strikes/min and connects on 3.85 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Amanda Ribas (-115)

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