Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo Pick, 5/6/2023 Predictions UFC 288 Odds

Aljamain Sterling vs Henry Cejudo

UFC 288

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, May 6, 2023

Aljamain Sterling will battle Henry Cejudo at UFC 288 on Saturday, May 6, 2023. The opening moneyline has Sterling at -110 while Cejudo is at -110.

Aljamain "Funk Master" Sterling will be looking to add a win to his career total of 22-3-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Henry "Triple C" Cejudo comes in at 5'4" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 16-2-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 64". When talking about significant strikes, Aljamain Sterling is landing 4.70 per min while Henry Cejudo lands 3.92 significant strikes per min. Sterling is landing 51% of the significant strikes he tries while Cejudo is connecting on 45%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Funk Master" takes 2.18 significant strikes per minute while "Triple C" allows 2.77. Sterling also prevents 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Cejudo curbs 65% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

When it comes to wrestling, Aljamain Sterling is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.98 times per 3 rounds. Sterling is getting his opponent to the mat on 24% of his attempts and is defending 41% of the takedowns his opponents try. Cejudo is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 93% of the tries against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Sterling is the more skilled technician by attempting 0.9 finishes per 15 min while Cejudo tries 0.2 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Aljamain Sterling faced TJ Dillashaw and wound up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 2. Dillashaw ended up landing 13 of 31 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Sterling ended the night having landed 148 of 181 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Dillashaw ended up landing 8 of 26, which means his percentage was 30%. He ended up landing 3 of 20 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Sterling landed 77% of his significant strikes by sticking 72 of 93. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 56 of 75 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Dillashaw and 23% of them connected on by Sterling were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Henry Cejudo, he fought Dominick Cruz and took home the victory by a knee to the head in round 2. Cruz ended up connecting on 93% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Cejudo ended up connecting on 83% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Cejudo ended up connecting on 63% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 53 of 83. He ended up landing 24 of 50 significant strikes directed at the head. Cruz connected on 33 of 81 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 15 of 58 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Cruz landed 33 of 81 while Cejudo connected on 56 of 86 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Belal Muhammad squares up with Gilbert Burns. Muhammad holds a record of 22-3-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Burns comes in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 22-5-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 71". Regarding grappling, Belal Muhammad takes his opponents to the canvas 2.19 times per 15 minutes and Gilbert Burns takes his opponents down 2.16 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Muhammad is landing 4.47 strikes/minute and lands 42% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Gilbert Burns, who tags the opposition on 47% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 3.38 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Bryce Mitchell is set to face off against Movsar Evloev. Evloev comes into this bout with a record of 16-0-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Mitchell stands 5'10" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 15-2-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 70". When it comes to takedowns, Movsar Evloev is able to defend against 71% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his attempts. Mitchell is finishing his takedowns on 44% of his tries and defends against 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Evloev takes 2.79 strikes/min while he lands 4.36 per min. Mitchell, moreover, takes 1.71 strikes/minute and is connecting on 2.48 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Aljamain Sterling (-110)

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