Austen Lane vs Justin Tafa Pick, 6/24/2023 Predictions UFC Jacksonville Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/19/2023

Austen Lane vs Justin Tafa

UFC Jacksonville

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, FL

Saturday, June 24, 2023

Austen Lane will face off with Justin Tafa at UFC Jacksonville on Saturday, June 24, 2023. The moneyline has Lane priced at +150 while Tafa is coming in at -185.

Austen Lane walks into the cage holding a mark of 12-3-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 245 lbs and measures 6'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 80". Justin "Bad Man" Tafa stands in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 264 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 6-3-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding significant strikes, Austen Lane connects on 4.17 per min while Justin Tafa is connecting on 5.09 significant strikes per minute. Lane is connecting on 45% of the significant strikes he tries and Tafa is landing 54%. When it comes to defending themselves, Lane absorbs 1.81 significant strikes per minute while "Bad Man" allows 5.95. Lane also curbs 58% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Tafa is able to curb 49% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Justin Tafa predictions best bet odds

UFC Jacksonville	Austen Lane	Justin Tafa
Opening Odds	+150	-185
Record	12-3-0	6-3-0
Average Fight Time	2:46	6:11
Height	6'6"	6'0"
Weight	245 lbs	264 lbs
Reach	80"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.17	5.09
Striking Accuracy	45%	54%

In the wrestling category, Austen Lane is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 15 min. Lane is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his attempts and stuffing 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Tafa is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 85% of the tries against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Lane is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes while Tafa tries 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Austen Lane went up against Richard Jacobi and ended up winning this fight by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Jacobi ended up landing 9 of 17 total strikes attempted in that contest. Lane walked away from this fight having landed 24 of 46 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Jacobi landed 4 of 9, which means his percentage was 44%. He landed 3 of 8 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Lane ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes by sticking 18 of 37. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 16 of 32 pointed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes connected on by Jacobi and 16% of them connected on by Lane were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Justin Tafa, he fought Parker Porter and wound up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Porter ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Tafa landed 62% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Tafa ended up connecting on 50% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 8 of 16. He ended up connecting on 6 of 13 significant strikes aimed at the head. Porter ended up connecting on 7 of 16 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 5 of 13 to the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Porter ended up connecting on 7 of 16 and Tafa landed 8 of 16 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Randy Brown battles Wellington Turman. Brown steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-5-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Turman comes in at 6'0" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 18-6-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of takedowns, Randy Brown takes his opponents to the canvas 0.68 times per 15 minutes and Wellington Turman takes his opponents down 1.79 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Brown is connecting on 4.39 strikes per min and connects on 47% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Wellington Turman, who connects on 49% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 2.92 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Loik Radzhabov is set to square up with Mateusz Rebecki. Rebecki steps into the Octagon with a record of 17-1-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Radzhabov comes in at 5'11" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 18-4-1. The 32-year-old has a reach of 69". Concerning wrestling, Mateusz Rebecki thwarts 66% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 62% of his tries. Radzhabov is taking his opponents to the mat on 52% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Rebecki takes 2.05 strikes/minute and he connects on 4.92 strikes per minute. Radzhabov, moreover, absorbs 4.40 strikes per min and dishes out 2.67 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Justin Tafa (-185)

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Austen Lane vs Justin Tafa Pick, 6/24/2023 Predictions UFC Jacksonville Odds

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