Bill Algeo vs TJ Brown Pick, 4/15/2023 Predictions UFC Kansas City Odds

Bill Algeo vs TJ Brown

UFC Kansas City

T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO

Saturday, April 15, 2023

Bill Algeo will enter the Octagon with TJ Brown at UFC Kansas City on Saturday, April 15, 2023. The opening odds have Algeo at -165 while Brown is at +135.

Bill "Senor Perfecto" Algeo will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 16-7-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The switch fighter has an arm span of 73". TJ "Downtown" Brown measures 5'9" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-9-0. The 32-year-old reaches 72". In the category of significant strikes, Bill Algeo connects on 5.68 per minute while TJ Brown is connecting on 3.40 significant strikes per minute. Algeo is landing 53% of the significant strikes he tries while Brown is landing 44%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Senor Perfecto" takes 4.14 significant strikes per minute while "Downtown" absorbs 2.69. Algeo also prevents 46% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Brown thwarts 49% of the shots thrown his way.

When it comes to grappling, Bill Algeo is the not as competent as a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.77 times per 3 rounds. Algeo is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of the times he tries and is defending 55% of the takedowns his opponents try. Brown is taking his opponents to the mat on 56% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 38% of the attempts against him. Regarding submission attempts, Algeo is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes while Brown goes for 1.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Bill Algeo squared up with Andre Fili and was on the losing end of this fight by way of split decision in round 3. Fili landed 67 of 151 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Algeo walked away from this fight having landed 151 of 246 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Fili landed 59 of 142, which means his percentage was 41%. He ended up landing 48 of 125 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Algeo ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 81 of 170. Of those significant strikes, he landed 38 of 113 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Fili and 98% of them landed by Algeo were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for TJ Brown, he battled Erik Silva and took home the win by an arm triangle in round 3. Silva ended up connecting on 61% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Brown ended up connecting on 54% of his significant strikes at distance. Brown ended up landing 63% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 24 of 38. He ended up landing 20 of 33 significant strikes aimed at the head. Silva ended up landing 21 of 29 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 12 of 19 to the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Silva was 32 of 42 while Brown ended up connecting on 82 of 109 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Brandon Royval enters the Octagon against Matheus Nicolau. Royval looks to add a win to his record of 14-6-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter stretches 68". Nicolau stands 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 19-3-1. The 30-year-old has a reach of 66". In the grappling category, Brandon Royval takes his opponents to the mat 0.70 times per 3 rds and Matheus Nicolau scores a takedown 1.52 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Royval is landing 3.32 strikes/min and is landing 36% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Matheus Nicolau, who is connecting on 53% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 3.72 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ed Herman is set to face off against Zak Cummings. Cummings has a career record of 24-7-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 75". Herman stands 6'1" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 27-15-0 (1 NC). The 42-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In terms of grappling, Zak Cummings defends against 65% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 28% of his tries. Herman is taking his opponents to the mat on 48% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 59% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Cummings absorbs 2.83 strikes/minute while he lands 2.58 strikes per minute. Herman, at the same time, absorbs 3.52 strikes/minute and is dishing out 3.28 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Bill Algeo (-165)

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