Carlos Hernandez vs Denys Bondar Pick, 6/17/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 75 Odds

Carlos Hernandez vs Denys Bondar

UFC Vegas 75

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 17, 2023

Carlos Hernandez will face off with Denys Bondar at UFC Vegas 75 on Saturday, June 17, 2023. The moneyline has Hernandez priced at +105 while Bondar is priced at -125.

Carlos Hernandez holds a career record of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 67". Denys "Psycho" Bondar comes in at 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 16-4-0. The 30-year-old stretches 69". In terms of significant strikes, Carlos Hernandez connects on 4.93 per minute and Denys Bondar lands 2.93 significant strikes per min. Hernandez is connecting on 47% of the significant strikes he attempts and Bondar lands 80%. When it comes to defending themselves, Hernandez takes 4.12 significant strikes per min while "Psycho" allows 2.20. Hernandez also stops 45% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Bondar is able to stop 72% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Concerning wrestling, Carlos Hernandez is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.90 times per 3 rds. Hernandez is finishing his takedown attempts on 11% of his attempts and stuffing 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Bondar is getting his opponent to the mat on 85% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Hernandez is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.5 subs per 15 min while Bondar goes for 0.8 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Carlos Hernandez faced Allan Nascimento and walked away in defeat via rear naked choke in round 1. Nascimento ended up landing 9 of 14 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Hernandez finished this fight landing 3 of 7 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Nascimento ended up landing 6 of 11, which gave him a rate of 54%. He finished the fight landing 2 of 5 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Hernandez ended up landing 42% of his significant strikes by sticking 3 of 7. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 2 of 5 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Nascimento and 100% of them connected on by Hernandez were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Denys Bondar, he squared up with Malcolm Gordon and was on the losing end of this fight by an arm injury in round 1. Gordon connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Bondar ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Bondar landed 80% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 4 of 5. He landed 2 of 3 significant strikes to the head. Gordon ended up landing 3 of 11 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 3 of 11 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Gordon ended up connecting on 6 of 15 and Bondar connected on 4 of 5 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Dan Argueta battles Ronnie Lawrence. Argueta steps into the Octagon with a mark of 9-1-0. The 29-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 68". Lawrence comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 8-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 68". In terms of takedowns, Dan Argueta takes his opponents to the canvas 2.50 times per 15 min and Ronnie Lawrence is averaging a takedown 7.03 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Argueta is connecting on 2.47 strikes per min and connecting on 51% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Ronnie Lawrence, who tags the opposition on 56% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 2.88 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Modestas Bukauskas is set to face off against Zac Pauga. Pauga holds a record of 7-1-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Bukauskas measures in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-5-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 78". In the category of takedowns, Zac Pauga deflects 85% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts. Bukauskas is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts and curbs 71% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Pauga absorbs 1.99 strikes/min and he deals 4.42 per min. Bukauskas, on the other hand, is taking 4.02 strikes/min and connects on 3.37 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Denys Bondar (-125)

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