Damir Ismagulov vs Grant Dawson Pick, 7/1/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 76 Odds

Damir Ismagulov vs Grant Dawson

UFC Vegas 76

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 1, 2023

Damir Ismagulov will face off against Grant Dawson at UFC Vegas 76 on Saturday, July 1, 2023. The odds have Ismagulov priced at -138 while Dawson is coming in at +110.

Damir "Qazaq" Ismagulov holds a record of 24-2-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Grant "KGD" Dawson comes in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 19-1-1. The 29-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding significant strikes, Damir Ismagulov is landing 3.78 per minute and Grant Dawson lands 3.12 significant strikes per min. Ismagulov is landing 42% of the significant strikes he throws while Dawson is landing 51%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Qazaq" takes 2.51 significant strikes per min and "KGD" takes 2.41. Ismagulov also thwarts 62% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Dawson prevents 45% of the shots thrown.

When it comes to grappling, Damir Ismagulov is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.17 times per 3 rds. Ismagulov is finishing his takedown attempts on 28% of his tries and thwarting 75% of all takedown tries against him. Dawson is taking his opponents to the canvas on 34% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 40% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Ismagulov is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes while Dawson goes for 1.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Damir Ismagulov squared up with Guram Kutateladze and ended up getting the victory in the fight via split decision in round 3. Kutateladze ended up landing 80 of 190 total strikes that he let go. Ismagulov ended the night having landed 83 of 197 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Kutateladze landed 78 of 187, giving him a percentage of 41%. He ended up landing 29 of 129 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Ismagulov landed 41% of his significant strikes by connecting on 79 of 192. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 63 of 173 to the head. 82% of the significant strikes landed by Kutateladze and 96% of them landed by Ismagulov were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Grant Dawson, he squared up with Mark Madsen and ended up getting the win by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Madsen landed 73% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Dawson ended up connecting on 75% of his significant strikes at distance. Dawson connected on 67% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 33 of 49. He ended up landing 17 of 31 significant strikes aimed at the head. Madsen landed 15 of 30 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 11 of 26 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Madsen connected on 50 of 70 while Dawson connected on 73 of 96 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Max Griffin enters the Octagon against Michael Morales. Griffin comes into this fight with a record of 19-9-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Morales comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-0-0. The 24-year-old has a reach of 79". When it comes to grappling, Max Griffin takes his opponents to the canvas 1.60 times per 15 min while Michael Morales takes his opponents to the canvas 1.98 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Griffin is connecting on 4.23 strikes/min and is connecting on 50% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Michael Morales, who lands 51% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 5.36 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Benoit Saint Denis is set to encounter Ismael Bonfim. Bonfim walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 19-3-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Saint Denis stands in at 5'11" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 10-1-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In the category of takedowns, Ismael Bonfim stops 85% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 28% of his attempts. Saint Denis is taking his opponents down on 30% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 85% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Bonfim absorbs 2.65 strikes per minute and he is landing 5.34 strikes/minute. Saint Denis, on the other hand, is taking 6.72 strikes per minute and is landing 4.37 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Grant Dawson (+110)

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