Daniel Pineda vs Tucker Lutz Pick, 3/25/2023 Predictions UFC San Antonio Odds

Daniel Pineda vs Tucker Lutz

UFC San Antonio

AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX

Saturday, March 25, 2023

Daniel Pineda will face off with Tucker Lutz at UFC San Antonio on Saturday, March 25, 2023. The opening moneyline has Pineda priced at +210 while Lutz is coming in at -275.

Daniel "The Pit" Pineda walks into the cage with a record of 27-14-0 (3 NC). The 37-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Tucker "Top Gun" Lutz stands 5'8" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 12-2-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 72". In the category of significant strikes, Daniel Pineda is landing 3.35 per minute and Tucker Lutz connects on 4.10 significant strikes per min. Pineda is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Lutz connects on 51%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Pit" allows 2.97 significant strikes per min while "Top Gun" absorbs 3.02. Pineda also prevents 45% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Lutz is able to defend against 44% of them.

In terms of wrestling, Daniel Pineda is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.42 times per 15 minutes. Pineda is finishing his takedown attempts on 22% of his tries and thwarting 42% of all takedown tries against him. Lutz is finishing his takedown attempts on 66% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Pineda is the more skilled technician by going for 1.6 finishes per 15 min while Lutz goes for 0.2 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Daniel Pineda faced Andre Fili and the fight ended in a no contest by a poke to the eye in round 2. Fili ended up landing 44 of 78 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Pineda ended the night having landed 43 of 62 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Fili landed 34 of 67, which means his percentage was 50%. He landed 29 of 61 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Pineda ended up landing 44% of his significant strikes by landing 15 of 34. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 7 of 25 pointed at the head. 82% of the significant strikes connected on by Fili and 100% of them landed by Pineda were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Tucker Lutz, he squared up with Pat Sabatini and took a loss on the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Sabatini connected on 75% of his significant strikes at distance while Lutz connected on 64% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Lutz landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 17 of 35. He ended up connecting on 5 of 21 significant strikes to the head. Sabatini landed 16 of 24 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 9 of 17 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Sabatini landed 111 of 132 and Lutz landed 36 of 55 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Steven Peterson faces off with Lucas Alexander. Peterson walks into the Octagon with a mark of 19-10-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Alexander comes in at 5'11" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 7-3-0. The 27-year-old reaches 73". In terms of takedowns, Steven Peterson is averaging a takedown 1.61 times per 3 rds and Lucas Alexander is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Peterson is landing 5.17 strikes/min and connects on 41% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Lucas Alexander, who is landing 50% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 0.49 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Preston Parsons is set to go up against Trevin Giles. Giles holds a career mark of 15-4-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Parsons comes in at 5'11" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 10-3-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 71". In the category of takedowns, Trevin Giles prevents 73% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 57% of the times he tries. Parsons is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Giles is absorbing 1.99 strikes/minute and he dishes out 2.90 per min. Parsons, moreover, is taking 3.83 strikes/minute and dishes out 5.22 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Daniel Pineda (+210)

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