Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny Pick, 1/21/2023 Predictions UFC 283 Odds

Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny

UFC 283

Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Saturday, January 21, 2023

Gilbert Burns will take on Neil Magny at UFC 283 on Saturday, January 21, 2023. The moneyline has Burns at -410 while Magny is at +330.

Gilbert "Durinho" Burns looks to add a victory to his career total of 20-5-0. The 36-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Neil "The Haitian Sensation" Magny stands 6'3" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 27-10-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 80". In terms of significant strikes, Gilbert Burns is connecting on 3.46 per min while Neil Magny lands 3.62 significant strikes per min. Burns connects on 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Magny is connecting on 46%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Durinho" allows 3.21 significant strikes per min while "The Haitian Sensation" allows 2.27. Burns also defends against 54% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Magny stops 54% of the shots thrown.

In terms of grappling, Gilbert Burns is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.00 times per 3 rds. Burns is scoring a takedown on 34% of his attempts and defending 47% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Magny is scoring a takedown on 42% of his takedown tries and is stopping 57% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to sub attempts, Burns is the more able fighter by going for 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds while Magny tries 0.3 submissions per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Gilbert Burns faced Khamzat Chimaev and walked away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Chimaev landed 124 of 239 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Burns walked away from this fight having landed 141 of 223 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Chimaev ended up landing 108 of 223, which means his percentage was 48%. He ended up landing 84 of 191 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Burns ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes by landing 119 of 200. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 89 of 166 aimed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes landed by Chimaev and 83% of them landed by Burns were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Neil Magny, he fought Daniel Rodriguez and wound up getting the victory by d'arce choke in round 3. Rodriguez landed 95% of his significant strikes at distance while Magny landed 80% of his significant strikes at distance. Magny connected on 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 57 of 109. He ended up connecting on 38 of 85 significant strikes directed at the head. Rodriguez landed 66 of 108 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 36 of 76 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Rodriguez ended up connecting on 71 of 113 while Magny landed 106 of 169 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Paul Craig battles Johnny Walker. Craig steps into the Octagon holding a record of 16-5-1. The 35-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Walker measures 6'6" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 19-7-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 82". When it comes to grappling, Paul Craig takes his opponents to the mat 1.85 times per 15 min and Johnny Walker takes his opponents to the canvas 0.43 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Craig is landing 2.47 strikes/min and lands 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Johnny Walker, who connects on 59% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 3.26 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Ihor Potieria is set to square up in the Octagon with Mauricio Rua. Rua walks into the cage with a mark of 27-13-1. The 41-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Potieria stands in at 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 19-3-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding takedowns, Mauricio Rua is able to curb 48% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 48% of his tries. Potieria is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of his tries and is able to curb 33% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Rua takes 2.77 strikes per minute and he is connecting on 3.57 per minute. Potieria, notwithstanding, takes 5.89 strikes/min and is connecting on 4.58 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Gilbert Burns (-410)

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