Karl Williams vs Chase Sherman Pick, 4/8/2023 Predictions UFC 287 Odds

Karl Williams vs Chase Sherman

UFC 287

Miami-Dade Arena in Miami, FL

Saturday, April 8, 2023

Karl Williams will enter the Octagon with Chase Sherman at UFC 287 on Saturday, April 8, 2023. The line has Williams priced at -480 while Sherman is priced at +350.

Karl Williams looks to add a victory to his career total of 8-1-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 235 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Chase "The Vanilla Gorilla" Sherman measures 6'4" and records a weight of 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 16-11-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 78". Concerning significant strikes, Karl Williams lands 2.07 per minute while Chase Sherman connects on 6.30 significant strikes per min. Williams is landing 61% of the significant strikes he attempts and Sherman is landing 46%. Regarding defense, Williams takes 0.90 significant strikes per min and "The Vanilla Gorilla" allows 6.85. Williams also deflects 53% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Sherman stops 51% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In the wrestling category, Karl Williams is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 5.50 times per 15 minutes. Williams is taking his opponents to the canvas on 68% of his attempts and is stuffing 85% of all takedown tries against him. Sherman is taking his opponents down on 50% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 66% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing opponents, Williams is the more apt fighter by trying 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes while Sherman goes for 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Karl Williams went up against Lukasz Brzeski and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Brzeski landed 49 of 72 total strikes attempted in that contest. Williams walked away from this fight having landed 120 of 168 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Brzeski ended up landing 26 of 46, giving him a percentage of 56%. He ended up landing 19 of 39 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Williams ended up landing 65% of his significant strikes by sticking 38 of 58. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 31 of 50 pointed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes landed by Brzeski and 57% of them landed by Williams were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Chase Sherman, he faced off with Waldo Cortes-Acosta and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Cortes-Acosta connected on 96% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Sherman ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Sherman connected on 37% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 66 of 177. He ended up connecting on 25 of 130 significant strikes aimed at the head. Cortes-Acosta ended up connecting on 147 of 278 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 124 of 247 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Cortes-Acosta landed 149 of 282 while Sherman landed 73 of 187 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Ignacio Bahamondes battles Trey Ogden. Bahamondes looks to add a win to his career record of 13-4-0. The 25-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Ogden stands 5'11" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 16-5-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of takedowns, Ignacio Bahamondes gets a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes and Trey Ogden is averaging a takedown 1.00 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Bahamondes tags his opponents 8.33 strikes/min and lands 47% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Trey Ogden, who tags the opposition on 43% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.73 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Steve Garcia is set to battle Shayilan Nuerdanbieke. Nuerdanbieke holds a mark of 39-10-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Garcia measures in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 13-5-0. The 30-year-old reaches 75". Regarding wrestling, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is able to stop 40% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 32% of the times he tries. Garcia is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of his tries and curbs 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Nuerdanbieke absorbs 2.93 strikes per min and he is dealing 2.17 strikes/minute. Garcia, moreover, takes 2.52 strikes per minute and dishes out 5.15 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Chase Sherman (+350)

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