Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze Pick, 3/18/2023 Predictions UFC 286 Odds

Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze

UFC 286

The O2 in London, England

Saturday, March 18, 2023

Marvin Vettori will take on Roman Dolidze at UFC 286 on Saturday, March 18, 2023. The opener has Vettori at -300 while Dolidze is coming in at +240.

Marvin "The Italian Dream" Vettori looks to add a win to his career total of 18-6-1. The 29-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 74". Roman Dolidze comes in at 6'2" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 12-1-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 76". With respect to significant strikes, Marvin Vettori lands 4.20 per min while Roman Dolidze is landing 2.62 significant strikes per min. Vettori lands 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Dolidze connects on 47%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Italian Dream" allows 3.58 significant strikes per minute while Dolidze takes 2.06. Vettori also curbs 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Dolidze thwarts 57% of the shots thrown.

In the wrestling category, Marvin Vettori is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.89 times per 15 minutes. Vettori is scoring a takedown on 44% of his attempts and thwarting 74% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Dolidze is getting his opponent to the mat on 52% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 33% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submissions, Vettori is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.6 finishes per 3 rds while Dolidze looks to get 2.1 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Marvin Vettori went up against Robert Whittaker and ended up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Whittaker ended up landing 74 of 166 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Vettori ended the night having landed 38 of 121 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Whittaker landed 74 of 166, giving him a percentage of 44%. He ended up landing 49 of 138 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Vettori ended up landing 28% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 33 of 116. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 15 of 94 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes connected on by Whittaker and 100% of them connected on by Vettori were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Roman Dolidze, he fought Jack Hermansson and took home the victory by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Hermansson ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Dolidze landed 48% of his significant strikes at distance. Dolidze ended up connecting on 46% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 25 of 54. He connected on 23 of 51 significant strikes directed at the head. Hermansson ended up landing 47 of 79 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 16 of 41 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he threw in that fight, Hermansson was 48 of 80 and Dolidze ended up landing 39 of 73 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Jack Shore squares up with Makwan Amirkhani. Shore will be looking to add a victory to his record of 16-1-0. The 28-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Amirkhani measures 5'10" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 17-8-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding grappling, Jack Shore is able to score a takedown 3.66 times per 15 min and Makwan Amirkhani gets a takedown 4.15 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Shore connects on 3.96 strikes per min and connects on 58% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Makwan Amirkhani, who tags the opposition on 44% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 1.35 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Omar Morales is set to battle Chris Duncan. Duncan walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-1-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Morales measures 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-3-0. The 37-year-old stretches 73". Regarding wrestling, Chris Duncan defends against 15% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of his tries. Morales is finishing his takedown tries on 85% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 63% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Duncan absorbs 7.94 strikes per min and he is landing 7.10 strikes per min. Morales, moreover, is absorbing 3.12 strikes per min and connects on 3.47 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Roman Dolidze (+240)

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