Rafael Alves vs Nurullo Aliev Pick, 2/25/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 70 Odds

Rafael Alves vs Nurullo Aliev

UFC Vegas 70

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 25, 2023

Rafael Alves will face off with Nurullo Aliev at UFC Vegas 70 on Saturday, February 25, 2023. The opening line has Alves coming in at +140 while Aliev is priced at -165.

Rafael "The Turn" Alves looks to add a win to his record of 20-11-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Nurullo "Tajik Eagle" Aliev stands 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 8-0-0. The 22-year-old has a reach of 72". In the category of significant strikes, Rafael Alves connects on 2.46 per min while Nurullo Aliev connects on 6.52 significant strikes per minute. Alves is landing 50% of the significant strikes he throws while Aliev lands 58%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "The Turn" allows 4.14 significant strikes per minute while "Tajik Eagle" absorbs 0.65. Alves also curbs 58% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Aliev is able to stop 40% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the wrestling category, Rafael Alves is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.41 times per 15 minutes. Alves is scoring a takedown on 25% of his tries and is stuffing 60% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Aliev is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of his takedown attempts and defending 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Alves is the more skilled fighter by trying 1.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Aliev attempts 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Rafael Alves faced Drew Dober and walked away with a loss by a punch to the body in round 3. Dober landed 62 of 151 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Alves ended the night having landed 46 of 80 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Dober ended up landing 62 of 151, which gave him a percentage of 41%. He finished the fight landing 38 of 121 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Alves ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes by connecting on 37 of 68. Of all the significant strikes, he was 24 of 55 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Dober and 83% of them connected on by Alves were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Nurullo Aliev, he went up against Josh Wick and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Wick landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Aliev ended up landing 3% of his significant strikes at distance. Aliev landed 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 30 of 51. He landed 25 of 46 significant strikes aimed at the head. Wick ended up landing 3 of 5 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 0 of 0 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Wick connected on 21 of 24 and Aliev landed 42 of 67 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jose Johnson enters the Octagon with Garrett Armfield. Johnson has a career record of 15-7-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Armfield measures in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 8-3-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of takedowns, Jose Johnson gets a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min while Garrett Armfield is averaging a takedown 0.80 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Johnson lands 2.17 strikes/minute and is landing 63% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Garrett Armfield, who tags the opposition on 29% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 2.56 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Montana De La Rosa is set to fight Tatiana Suarez. Suarez walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-0-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and measures 5'5". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". De La Rosa comes in at 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 12-7-1. The 28-year-old extends her reach 68". Regarding takedowns, Tatiana Suarez prevents 85% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 62% of her tries. De La Rosa is finishing her takedown tries on 31% of her tries and is able to stop 63% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Suarez is absorbing 1.45 strikes per min and she is dealing 4.82 strikes/minute. De La Rosa, moreover, is absorbing 3.19 strikes per minute and lands 2.60 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Nurullo Aliev (-165)

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