Roman Kopylov vs Claudio Ribeiro Pick, 7/29/2023 Predictions UFC 291 Odds

Roman Kopylov vs Claudio Ribeiro

UFC 291

Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, UT

Saturday, July 29, 2023

Roman Kopylov will battle Claudio Ribeiro at UFC 291 on Saturday, July 29, 2023. The line has Kopylov coming in at -220 while Ribeiro is coming in at +180.

Roman Kopylov looks to add a victory to his career record of 10-2-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Claudio Ribeiro measures 6'1" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 77". Regarding significant strikes, Roman Kopylov lands 4.54 per minute and Claudio Ribeiro connects on 4.22 significant strikes per min. Kopylov connects on 50% of the significant strikes he throws and Ribeiro is landing 60%. Regarding defense, Kopylov takes 3.96 significant strikes per minute while Ribeiro allows 2.39. Kopylov also defends against 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Ribeiro curbs 38% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the category of takedowns, Roman Kopylov is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.62 times per 15 min. Kopylov is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the times he tries and thwarting 89% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Ribeiro is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of his takedown tries and is stopping 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submission attempts, Kopylov is the more skilled technician by going for 0.9 submissions per 15 min while Ribeiro tries 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Roman Kopylov fought Punahele Soriano and ended up getting the victory via a kick to the body in round 2. Soriano ended up landing 39 of 107 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Kopylov walked away from this fight having landed 82 of 128 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Soriano ended up landing 39 of 107, which gave him a rate of 36%. He ended up landing 35 of 101 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Kopylov landed 64% of his significant strikes by connecting on 82 of 128. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 56 of 101 pointed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Soriano and 92% of them landed by Kopylov were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Claudio Ribeiro, he faced off with Joseph Holmes and wound up getting the win by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Holmes ended up connecting on 76% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Ribeiro ended up landing 27% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Ribeiro landed 58% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 37 of 63. He ended up landing 34 of 57 significant strikes directed at the head. Holmes ended up landing 17 of 24 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 4 of 10 directed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Holmes landed 22 of 29 and Ribeiro connected on 60 of 91 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jake Matthews enters the Octagon with Miguel Baeza. Matthews looks to add a win to his record of 18-6-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Baeza measures 6'2" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old stretches 74". Regarding grappling, Jake Matthews takes his opponents to the canvas 1.78 times per 3 rounds and Miguel Baeza takes his opponents to the mat 0.44 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Matthews lands 3.09 strikes/minute and lands 44% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Miguel Baeza, who tags his opponent on 49% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 4.88 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Vinicius Salvador is set to square up against CJ Vergara. Vergara steps into the cage holding a record of 11-4-1. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Salvador measures 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-5-0. The 27-year-old stretches 70". Concerning wrestling, CJ Vergara is able to stop 72% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his attempts. Salvador is finishing his takedowns on 14% of his tries and is able to stop 86% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Vergara takes 4.75 strikes/min and he is landing 5.63 strikes per minute. Salvador, moreover, takes 5.29 strikes per min and is landing 5.17 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Claudio Ribeiro (+180)

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