Sergei Pavlovich vs Curtis Blaydes Pick, 4/22/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 71 Odds

Sergei Pavlovich vs Curtis Blaydes

UFC Vegas 71

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 22, 2023

Sergei Pavlovich will enter the Octagon against Curtis Blaydes at UFC Vegas 71 on Saturday, April 22, 2023. The opener has Pavlovich coming in at +140 while Blaydes is priced at -165.

Sergei Pavlovich holds a record of 17-1-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 257 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 84". Curtis "Razor" Blaydes stands in at 6'4" and is fighting at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 17-3-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has an arm span of 80". With respect to significant strikes, Sergei Pavlovich connects on 8.07 per min while Curtis Blaydes lands 3.54 significant strikes per minute. Pavlovich lands 51% of the significant strikes he tries while Blaydes connects on 51%. Regarding defense, Pavlovich takes 4.30 significant strikes per minute and "Razor" allows 1.70. Pavlovich also curbs 48% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Blaydes is able to defend against 59% of the shots thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Sergei Pavlovich is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.80 times per 3 rds. Pavlovich is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries and is defending 66% of all takedown attempts. Blaydes is finishing his takedown attempts on 53% of his takedown tries and defending 33% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Pavlovich is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.4 subs per 15 min while Blaydes tries 0.5 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Sergei Pavlovich fought Tai Tuivasa and ended up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Tuivasa ended up landing 2 of 10 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Pavlovich walked away from this fight having landed 23 of 44 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Tuivasa landed 2 of 10, which means his percentage was 20%. He ended up landing 2 of 9 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Pavlovich ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 23 of 44. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 23 of 43 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Tuivasa and 69% of them landed by Pavlovich were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Curtis Blaydes, he squared up with Tom Aspinall and wound up taking home the victory by way of a knee injury in round 1. Aspinall landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Blaydes ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Blaydes ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 4 of 10. He ended up connecting on 2 of 8 significant strikes directed at the head. Aspinall landed 3 of 5 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 0 of 2 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Aspinall connected on 3 of 5 and Blaydes ended up connecting on 4 of 10 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Brad Tavares squares up with Bruno Silva. Tavares will be looking to add a victory to his total of 19-8-0. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Silva measures 6'0" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 22-8-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the grappling category, Brad Tavares is averaging a takedown 0.86 times per 3 rounds and Bruno Silva is able to score a takedown 0.66 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Tavares lands an average of 3.30 strikes/min and is landing 43% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Bruno Silva, who tags the opposition on 48% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 4.31 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Jared Gordon is set to square up in the Octagon with Bobby Green. Green walks into the Octagon with a record of 29-14-1. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Gordon comes in at 5'9" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-6-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In terms of grappling, Bobby Green is able to deflect 72% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of the times he tries. Gordon is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of his tries and curbs 61% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Green is taking 3.67 strikes per minute while he lands 5.99 per min. Gordon, at the same time, absorbs 3.22 strikes/minute and is dealing 5.37 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Sergei Pavlovich (+140)

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