Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Matheus Camilo Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Matheus Camilo
UFC 321
Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi
Saturday, October 25, 2025
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady will face off against Matheus Camilo at UFC 321 on Saturday, October 25, 2025. The opener has Al-Selwady priced at -108 while Camilo is priced at -112.
Abdul-Kareem "Pride of Palestine" Al-Selwady walks into the cage holding a record of 15-4-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Matheus "Jaguar" Camilo measures 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 9-3-0. The 24-year-old stretches 69". In the category of significant strikes, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady is landing 4.14 per min and Matheus Camilo is landing 1.49 significant strikes per minute. Al-Selwady lands 34% of the significant strikes he tries while Camilo is connecting on 48%. Regarding defense, "Pride of Palestine" absorbs 3.60 significant strikes per minute while "Jaguar" takes 1.38. Al-Selwady also defends 59% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Camilo is able to thwart 55% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC 321 | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | Matheus Camilo |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -108 | -112 |
| Record | 15-4-0 | 9-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:55 | 8:43 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 69" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.14 | 1.49 |
| Striking Accuracy | 34% | 48% |
When it comes to wrestling, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 2.32 times per 3 rounds. Al-Selwady is scoring a takedown on 30% of his tries and is defending 20% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Camilo is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 15% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Al-Selwady is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.7 subs per 3 rds while Camilo tries 1.7 subs per 3 rds.
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In his previous bout, Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady squared up with Loik Radzhabov and ended up walking away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Radzhabov ended up landing 57 of 115 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Al-Selwady walked away from this fight having landed 50 of 84 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Radzhabov landed 39 of 90, which gave him a percentage of 43%. He finished the fight landing 33 of 72 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Al-Selwady landed 55% of his significant strikes by sticking 38 of 68. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 15 of 34 aimed at the head. 46% of the significant strikes connected on by Radzhabov and 89% of them connected on by Al-Selwady were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Matheus Camilo, he faced off with Gabe Green and walked away with a loss by rear naked choke in round 2. Green landed 83% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Camilo connected on 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Camilo ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 13 of 27. He landed 6 of 16 significant strikes directed at the head. Green ended up landing 12 of 27 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 4 of 16 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Green was 36 of 57 and Camilo ended up landing 33 of 48 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Nathaniel Wood faces off with Jose Delgado. Wood looks to add a victory to his record of 21-6-0. The 32-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Delgado stands in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 10-1-0. The 27-year-old reaches 74". In the grappling category, Nathaniel Wood is able to score a takedown 1.41 times per 3 rounds while Jose Delgado takes his opponents to the canvas 4.58 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Wood connects on 5.66 strikes/min and is connecting on 51% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Jose Delgado, who connects on 49% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 7.13 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Chris Barnett is set to face off against Hamdy Abdelwahab. Abdelwahab holds a record of 6-1-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old tips the scales at 264 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Barnett stands 5'9" and records a weight of 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 23-9-0. The 39-year-old extends his reach 75". In the category of takedowns, Hamdy Abdelwahab is stopping 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of his tries. Barnett is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the tries he takes and curbs 33% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Abdelwahab is absorbing 4.49 strikes/minute while he connects on 3.49 per minute. Barnett, on the contrary, is absorbing 6.53 strikes/min and lands 4.21 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Matheus Camilo (-112)
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