Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida Pick, 10/25/2025 Predictions UFC 321 Odds
Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida
UFC 321
Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi
Saturday, October 25, 2025
Alexander Volkov will enter the Octagon against Jailton Almeida at UFC 321 on Saturday, October 25, 2025. The opening moneyline has Volkov coming in at +170 while Almeida is coming in at -200.
Alexander "Drago" Volkov holds a mark of 38-11-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 250 lbs and stands 6'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Jailton "Malhadinho" Almeida stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 22-3-0. The 34-year-old stretches 79". Regarding significant strikes, Alexander Volkov is connecting on 4.97 per min while Jailton Almeida is connecting on 2.62 significant strikes per minute. Volkov is connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he tries while Almeida lands 65%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Drago" takes 2.99 significant strikes per min while "Malhadinho" takes 0.89. Volkov also defends against 54% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Almeida stops 41% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC 321 | Alexander Volkov | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +170 | -200 |
| Record | 38-11-0 | 22-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:57 | 6:50 |
| Height | 6'7" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 250 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 80" | 79" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.97 | 2.62 |
| Striking Accuracy | 57% | 65% |
In terms of takedowns, Alexander Volkov is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.61 times per 15 minutes. Volkov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 66% of the times he tries and is stuffing 72% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Almeida is taking his opponents to the canvas on 60% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 60% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing opponents, Volkov is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.2 submissions per 3 rds while Almeida attempts 2.4 submissions per 3 rds.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Alexander Volkov went up against Ciryl Gane and wound up taking the loss by split decision in round 3. Gane landed 48 of 66 total strikes that he let go. Volkov ended the night having landed 105 of 140 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Gane landed 43 of 61, which means his percentage was 70%. He landed 14 of 30 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Volkov landed 54% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 39 of 71. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 19 of 46 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Gane and 92% of them landed by Volkov were done at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Jailton Almeida, he battled Serghei Spivac and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Spivac connected on 13% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Almeida ended up landing 30% of his significant strikes at distance. Almeida connected on 74% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 23 of 31. He ended up connecting on 20 of 27 significant strikes directed at the head. Spivac ended up landing 15 of 28 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 14 of 27 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Spivac was 34 of 47 while Almeida was 36 of 49 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Aleksandar Rakic squares up in the Octagon against Azamat Murzakanov. Rakic has a career mark of 14-5-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Murzakanov measures in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 15-0-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 71". Regarding grappling, Aleksandar Rakic takes his opponents down 0.66 times per 3 rounds while Azamat Murzakanov is averaging a takedown 0.58 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Rakic lands 4.16 strikes/min and connects on 50% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Azamat Murzakanov, who is landing 57% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 4.93 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Quillan Salkilld is set to clash with Nasrat Haqparast. Haqparast has a record of 18-5-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 72". Salkilld stands 6'0" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-1-0. The 25-year-old stretches 75". Regarding wrestling, Nasrat Haqparast is able to stop 84% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 20% of the times he tries. Salkilld is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of the tries he takes and deflects 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Haqparast takes 6.01 strikes/minute while he deals 6.40 strikes/min. Salkilld, on the contrary, is taking 3.46 strikes per min and lands 5.48 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Alexander Volkov (+170)
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