Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz Pick, 10/04/2025 Predictions UFC 320 Odds
Ateba Gautier vs Ozzy Diaz
UFC 320
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 4, 2025
Ateba Gautier will face off against Ozzy Diaz at UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The line has Gautier at -1100 while Diaz is priced at +775.
Ateba "The Silent Assassin" Gautier walks into the cage with a record of 8-1-0. The 23-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The switch fighter reaches 81". Ozzy Diaz stands 6'4" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 10-3-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 79". In terms of significant strikes, Ateba Gautier is connecting on 6.93 per min while Ozzy Diaz is connecting on 6.44 significant strikes per min. Gautier lands 61% of the significant strikes he tries while Diaz is connecting on 50%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Silent Assassin" takes 2.19 significant strikes per min while Diaz allows 7.23. Gautier also deflects 52% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Diaz stops 59% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC 320 | Ateba Gautier | Ozzy Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -1100 | +775 |
| Record | 8-1-0 | 10-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 4:34 | 8:01 |
| Height | 6'4" | 6'4" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 81" | 79" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.93 | 6.44 |
| Striking Accuracy | 61% | 50% |
In terms of takedowns, Ateba Gautier is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds. Gautier is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries and is defending 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Diaz is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Gautier is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.2 finishes per 15 min while Diaz tries 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Ateba Gautier went up against Robert Valentin and took home the victory by a punch to the head in round 1. Valentin landed 2 of 5 total strikes attempted in that contest. Gautier finished this fight landing 19 of 37 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Valentin landed 2 of 5, giving him a percentage of 40%. He finished the fight landing 1 of 3 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Gautier landed 51% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 19 of 37. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 16 of 34 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Valentin and 84% of them connected on by Gautier were done at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Ozzy Diaz, he squared up with Djorden Santos and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Santos landed 99% of his significant strikes at distance while Diaz ended up landing 96% of his significant strikes at distance. Diaz ended up connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 135 of 261. He connected on 119 of 240 significant strikes directed at the head. Santos landed 131 of 345 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 115 of 323 to the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Santos landed 134 of 348 and Diaz ended up landing 136 of 262 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch out for
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Edmen Shahbazyan enters the Octagon against Andre Muniz. Shahbazyan looks to add a victory to his total of 15-5-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Muniz stands 6'1" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a record of 24-7-0. The 35-year-old reaches 78". When it comes to grappling, Edmen Shahbazyan is averaging a takedown 1.69 times per 15 minutes while Andre Muniz takes his opponents to the canvas 4.02 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Shahbazyan tags his opponents 3.74 strikes per minute and connects on 48% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Andre Muniz, who tags his opponent on 49% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 2.04 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Farid Basharat is set to battle Chris Gutierrez. Gutierrez walks into the Octagon with a mark of 22-6-2. The 34-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Basharat measures 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 13-0-0. The 28-year-old reaches 71". Concerning wrestling, Chris Gutierrez defends against 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 25% of the times he tries. Basharat is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of the tries he takes and stops 80% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Gutierrez absorbs 2.65 strikes per minute and he connects on 4.59 strikes/min. Basharat, moreover, takes 2.57 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.36 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ozzy Diaz (+775)
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