Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan Pick, 05/10/2025 Predictions UFC 315 Odds

Brad Katona vs Bekzat Almakhan

UFC 315

Bell Centre in Montreal

Saturday, May 10, 2025

Brad Katona will enter the Octagon against Bekzat Almakhan at UFC 315 on Saturday, May 10, 2025. The odds have Katona at +154 while Almakhan is coming in at -185.

Brad "Superman" Katona will be looking to add a win to his career record of 16-4-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 64". Bekzat "The Turan Warrior" Almakhan measures 5'7" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 68". In the category of significant strikes, Brad Katona is connecting on 4.84 per minute while Bekzat Almakhan connects on 0.20 significant strikes per min. Katona lands 52% of the significant strikes he tries and Almakhan connects on 18%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Superman" takes 4.73 significant strikes per minute while "The Turan Warrior" allows 4.53. Katona also stops 50% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Almakhan stops 30% of the shots thrown.

Concerning takedowns, Brad Katona is the more skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.88 times per 3 rounds. Katona is taking his opponents to the canvas on 34% of his attempts and stuffing 61% of all takedowns attempted on him. Almakhan is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing opponents, Katona is the more skilled technician by trying 0.9 subs per 15 min while Almakhan looks to get 0.6 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Brad Katona fought Jean Matsumoto and wound up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Matsumoto landed 109 of 223 total strikes attempted in that contest. Katona walked away from this fight having landed 117 of 171 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Matsumoto landed 89 of 201, which means his percentage was 44%. He ended up landing 62 of 164 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Katona ended up landing 63% of his significant strikes by connecting on 89 of 141. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 68 of 118 to the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Matsumoto and 82% of them connected on by Katona were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Bekzat Almakhan, he battled Umar Nurmagomedov and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Nurmagomedov landed 10% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Almakhan ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Almakhan ended up landing 18% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 3 of 16. He ended up connecting on 1 of 13 significant strikes to the head. Nurmagomedov landed 68 of 98 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 64 of 94 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown, Nurmagomedov was 145 of 197 and Almakhan landed 5 of 25 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Valentina Shevchenko meets Manon Fiorot. Shevchenko steps into the cage with a mark of 24-4-1. The 37-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Fiorot stands in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 12-1-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 65". Regarding grappling, Valentina Shevchenko is able to score a takedown 2.74 times per 3 rds while Manon Fiorot takes her opponents to the mat 1.17 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Shevchenko tags his opponents 3.16 strikes/min and landing 52% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Manon Fiorot, who lands 41% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 6.26 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Natalia Silva is set to take on Alexa Grasso. Grasso will be looking to add a win to her career total of 16-4-1. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Silva stands 5'4" and weighs 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to her record of 18-5-1. The 28-year-old extends her reach 65". In terms of grappling, Alexa Grasso deflects 54% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is getting her opponent to the mat on 40% of the times she tries. Silva is taking her opponents to the mat on 25% of her tries and defends against 91% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Grasso absorbs 3.69 strikes per minute while she is dealing 4.19 strikes/minute. Silva, at the same time, takes 2.35 strikes per min and dishes out 5.19 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Brad Katona (+154)

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