Carlos Ulberg vs Dominick Reyes Pick, 09/27/2025 Predictions UFC Perth Odds

Carlos Ulberg vs Dominick Reyes

UFC Perth

RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia

Saturday, September 27, 2025

Carlos Ulberg will enter the Octagon against Dominick Reyes at UFC Perth on Saturday, September 27, 2025. The odds have Ulberg at -250 while Reyes is priced at +210.

Carlos "Black Jag" Ulberg has a career record of 13-1-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Dominick "The Devastator" Reyes stands 6'4" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 15-4-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 77". Concerning significant strikes, Carlos Ulberg lands 6.77 per min and Dominick Reyes connects on 5.58 significant strikes per min. Ulberg connects on 55% of the significant strikes he tries and Reyes is landing 54%. In terms of defending themselves, "Black Jag" absorbs 4.21 significant strikes per min while "The Devastator" absorbs 3.54. Ulberg also defends against 51% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Reyes deflects 50% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding wrestling, Carlos Ulberg is the more effective wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.58 times per 15 min. Ulberg is taking his opponents to the canvas on 60% of his attempts and stopping 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Reyes is finishing his takedowns on 28% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 82% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Ulberg is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Reyes goes for 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Carlos Ulberg faced Jan Blachowicz and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Blachowicz ended up landing 59 of 131 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Ulberg walked away from this fight having landed 75 of 157 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Blachowicz ended up landing 59 of 131, which gave him a rate of 45%. He ended up landing 17 of 67 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Ulberg ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 75 of 157. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 19 of 87 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Blachowicz and 98% of them landed by Ulberg were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Dominick Reyes, he went up against Nikita Krylov and wound up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 1. Krylov ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Reyes ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Reyes ended up connecting on 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 8 of 17. He ended up landing 5 of 14 significant strikes to the head. Krylov connected on 4 of 22 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 3 of 16 to the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Krylov connected on 4 of 22 and Reyes landed 8 of 17 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jimmy Crute enters the Octagon against Ivan Erslan. Crute holds a career mark of 13-4-2. The 29-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Erslan comes in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-5-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to grappling, Jimmy Crute takes his opponents to the canvas 4.20 times per 3 rounds and Ivan Erslan scores a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Crute lands 4.17 strikes/minute and lands 52% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Ivan Erslan, who is landing 44% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 2.50 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ramon Taveras is set to fight Jack Jenkins. Jenkins comes into this bout with a record of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The switch fighter has a reach of 68". Taveras measures 5'8" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 70". Concerning wrestling, Jack Jenkins deflects 67% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 64% of the times he tries. Taveras is finishing his takedowns on 85% of his tries and is able to defend against 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Jenkins is absorbing 2.97 strikes per min while he is connecting on 4.50 strikes per min. Taveras, notwithstanding, takes 7.41 strikes/minute and connects on 4.62 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Carlos Ulberg (-250)

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