Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds
Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim
UFC Vegas 111
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 8, 2025
Chris Padilla will enter the Octagon with Ismael Bonfim at UFC Vegas 111 on Saturday, November 8, 2025. The opener has Padilla priced at +170 while Bonfim is at -200.
Chris "Taco" Padilla looks to add a win to his career total of 16-6-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 74". Ismael "Marreta" Bonfim comes in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 20-5-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Regarding significant strikes, Chris Padilla is landing 4.13 per minute and Ismael Bonfim connects on 5.73 significant strikes per minute. Padilla is landing 51% of the significant strikes he attempts and Bonfim is landing 55%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Taco" allows 3.68 significant strikes per min and "Marreta" absorbs 3.10. Padilla also defends 57% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Bonfim is able to deflect 70% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 111 | Chris Padilla | Ismael Bonfim |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +170 | -200 |
| Record | 16-6-0 | 20-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:36 | 9:25 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.13 | 5.73 |
| Striking Accuracy | 51% | 55% |
Concerning wrestling, Chris Padilla is the more efficient wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.56 times per 15 min. Padilla is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of the times he tries and thwarting 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Bonfim is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 76% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submissions, Padilla is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.5 submissions per 3 rds while Bonfim tries 0.8 submissions per 15 min.
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In his last bout, Chris Padilla faced Jai Herbert and wound up taking home the win by split decision in round 3. Herbert landed 59 of 143 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Padilla finished this fight landing 88 of 147 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Herbert ended up landing 38 of 122 , which gave him a percentage of 31%. He landed 19 of 92 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Padilla landed 39% of his significant strikes by landing 39 of 98 . In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 20 of 60 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Herbert and 89% of them connected on by Padilla were done at a distance.
In the last bout for Ismael Bonfim, he went up against Nazim Sadykhov and walked away with a loss via TKO via a doctor's stoppage in round 1. Sadykhov landed 92% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Bonfim landed 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Bonfim connected on 61% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 26 of 42 . He ended up landing 14 of 29 significant strikes directed at the head. Sadykhov ended up connecting on 13 of 46 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 9 of 35 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Sadykhov ended up connecting on 14 of 49 and Bonfim connected on 26 of 43 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Ricky Simon enters the Octagon with Raoni Barcelos. Simon steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 22-6-0. The 33-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Barcelos measures 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 20-5-0. The 38-year-old reaches 67". Regarding grappling, Ricky Simon gets his opposition to the mat 5.01 times per 3 rounds and Raoni Barcelos takes his opponents down 2.33 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Simon connects on 2.93 strikes/min and lands 44% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Raoni Barcelos, who lands 52% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 4.87 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Marco Tulio is set to square up in the Octagon with Christian Leroy Duncan. Leroy Duncan holds a record of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The switch fighter has an arm span of 79". Tulio measures 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 14-1-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding wrestling, Christian Leroy Duncan defends against 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 11% of his tries. Tulio is taking his opponents down on 20% of his attempts and is able to defend against 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Leroy Duncan takes 2.94 strikes/min while he is dishing out 4.83 strikes/minute. Tulio, at the same time, absorbs 2.53 strikes per minute and dishes out 7.54 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ismael Bonfim (-200)
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