Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds
Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio
UFC Vegas 111
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 8, 2025
Christian Leroy Duncan will battle Marco Tulio at UFC Vegas 111 on Saturday, November 8, 2025. The opening odds have Duncan priced at +165 while Tulio is priced at -190.
Christian "CLD" Leroy Duncan holds a record of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The switch fighter has an arm span of 79". Marco "Matuto" Tulio measures 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 14-1-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 74". Concerning significant strikes, Christian Leroy Duncan is landing 4.83 per min while Marco Tulio connects on 7.54 significant strikes per minute. Leroy Duncan lands 59% of the significant strikes he attempts and Tulio is landing 60%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "CLD" allows 2.94 significant strikes per minute and "Matuto" takes 2.53. Leroy Duncan also curbs 51% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Tulio curbs 61% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 111 | Christian Leroy Duncan | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +165 | -190 |
| Record | 12-2-0 | 14-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:35 | 8:30 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'0" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 79" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.83 | 7.54 |
| Striking Accuracy | 59% | 60% |
In terms of takedowns, Christian Leroy Duncan is not as effective of a wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.22 times per 3 rounds. Leroy Duncan is scoring a takedown on 11% of his attempts and is stuffing 71% of all takedown tries against him. Tulio is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 15% of the tries against him. Regarding submission attempts, Leroy Duncan is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Tulio goes for 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In his previous fight, Christian Leroy Duncan went up against Eryk Anders and ended up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 1. Anders landed 18 of 24 total strikes attempted in that fight. Duncan ended the night having landed 27 of 46 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Anders ended up landing 7 of 12 , which gave him a percentage of 58%. He finished the fight landing 2 of 7 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Duncan ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by landing 24 of 43 . In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 9 of 26 aimed at the head. 57% of the significant strikes landed by Anders and 83% of them connected on by Duncan were thrown at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Marco Tulio, he faced off with Tresean Gore and took home the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Gore ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Tulio ended up landing 92% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Tulio ended up connecting on 72% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 127 of 175 . He landed 74 of 120 significant strikes to the head. Gore connected on 17 of 60 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 10 of 47 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Gore was 17 of 60 while Tulio connected on 140 of 195 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Hyder Amil faces off with Jamall Emmers. Amil looks to add a win to his record of 11-1-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 70". Emmers measures in at 5'10" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-8-0. The 36-year-old stretches 74". Regarding grappling, Hyder Amil takes his opponents down 0.77 times per 3 rds while Jamall Emmers takes his opponents to the mat 1.74 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Amil lands an average of 6.84 strikes per minute and lands 57% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Jamall Emmers, who tags his opponent on 49% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 5.45 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Cristian Quinonez is set to enter the Octagon with Adrian Yanez. Yanez walks into the Octagon with a mark of 17-6-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Quinonez comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 18-5-0. The 29-year-old reaches 70". In the category of takedowns, Adrian Yanez defends against 81% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his attempts. Quinonez is taking his opponents down on 37% of the attempts he tries and stops 84% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Yanez absorbs 5.75 strikes/minute while he is landing 6.23 strikes/minute. Quinonez, in contrast, takes 4.55 strikes per minute and is dishing out 4.19 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Marco Tulio (-190)
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